I’m going to open the door to a “secret society” for you today.

After earning hefty profits on its commodities trading for nearly 18 years, heavyweight trader Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS) now finds itself on the hot seat, defending this crucial source of revenue. And while that may not be good for Goldman, it’s also bad for investors.  Let me explain…

Oil Rises on China Demand, Slowing U.S. Recession; Homebuilder Shares Surge After Order Increase; Natural Gas ETF to Suspend New Share Offers; Microsoft to Bring Office to Nokia Smartphones; J.D. Power: Auto Sales to Surge Next Year; WTO: China Violated Trade Rules on Books and Movies; Despite Shrinking Sales, Macy’s Beats the Street

I’d like to focus today’s segment on the markets that typically see heightened activity during the summer months, due to the fact that it’s their prime growing season. Specifically, that means the grains and orange juice markets.

I’d like to focus this week’s segment on the markets that typically see heightened activity during the summer months, due to the fact that it’s their prime growing season. Specifically, that means the grains and orange juice markets.

Whether it’s heading up or down, the oil market usually asserts itself as the leader of the commodities world.  Having plunged from levels around $130 per barrel this time last year all the way down to the $40s, the market has spent the last couple of months striking to the upside again.

From the tidal wave of e-mails and comments I have received from numerous different sources I am under the impression that most investors view the recent rally in the world’s stock markets as a bear market rally. I suppose we would need to define a bear market rally as a rally that fails to make a new all-time high (for the S&P 500, above the 1576 reached in October 2007) and is also followed by a new low for this cycle (below 666 for the S&P 500 reached in early March 2009).

While history has shown us that there shouldn’t be much correlation between the stock and commodity markets, the current inter-connectedness between the two at the moment is still very evident. We’re still seeing large, intra-day and intra-week price swings, most of it coming on the heels of stock market moves. 

With Monday’s surprise announcement, China dropped a bombshell on global currency markets. Action to take: Get out of the U.S. dollar. Now. Right now.

Lehman Brothers (NYSE: LEH) has a lot to answer for… No sooner had I wrapped up this edition of “Sector Watch” than the company declared bankruptcy, thus forcing me into a swift re-write! So much for my plan to go fishing yesterday…