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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; US housing sales</title>
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		<title>Housing Data Boosts Market; SanDisk Curbs Nasdaq</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/housing-data-boosts-market-sandisk-curbs-nasdaq/12821</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/housing-data-boosts-market-sandisk-curbs-nasdaq/12821#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Feb 2009 18:28:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Contrarian Profits</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dow Jones]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Equity Trading]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nasdaq Composite Index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nasdaq Gains]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sandisk Corp]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Schering Plough Corp]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S. housing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US housing sales]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=12821</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Pending home sales rose 6.3 pct in December&#8230; Merck gains after beating expectations&#8230; SanDisk sheds 23 pct, limits Nasdaq gains&#8230; Dow up 0.6 pct, S&#38;P up 0.5 pct, Nasdaq 0.2 pct&#8230;</p>
<p>U.S. stocks edged up on Tuesday after a surprising rise in December pending home sales and strong earnings from drugmaker Merck tempered worries about the economy and an otherwise gloomy quarterly results season. </p>
<p> But Nasdaq&#8217;s gains were limited as a poor revenue outlook  from flash memory card maker SanDisk Corp , whose chips are used in products including cell phones and digital cameras, signaled slower consumer spending in the technology sector. </p>
<p> Still, investors saw a glimmer of hope in the housing market after pending sales of existing homes rose 6.3&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Pending home sales rose 6.3 pct in December&#8230;<span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> Merck gains after beating expectations&#8230; SanDisk sheds 23 pct, limits Nasdaq gains&#8230; Dow up 0.6 pct, S&amp;P up 0.5 pct, Nasdaq 0.2 pct&#8230;<span id="more-12821"></span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;">U.S. stocks edged up on Tuesday after a surprising rise in December pending home sales and strong earnings from drugmaker Merck tempered worries about the economy and an otherwise gloomy quarterly results season. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> But Nasdaq&#8217;s gains were limited as a poor revenue outlook  from flash memory card maker SanDisk Corp , whose chips are used in products including cell phones and digital cameras, signaled slower consumer spending in the technology sector. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> Still, investors saw a glimmer of hope in the housing market after pending sales of existing homes rose 6.3 percent, lifting an index of home builder stocks  nearly 6 percent. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> Wall Street was also helped by news that the Federal Reserve extended, by six months, programs designed to funnel billions of U.S. dollars to markets worldwide to keep money flowing in the battered banking system. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> &#8220;We have a lot of investors desperately looking for signs that fundamental improvement is on the horizon,&#8221; said Craig Peckham, equity trading strategist for Jefferies &amp; Co in New York. &#8220;The Fed is extending liquidity programs and telling you in same breath that conditions remain quite strained.&#8221; </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> The Dow Jones industrial average added 43.32 points, or 0.55 percent, at 7,980.15. The Standard &amp; Poor&#8217;s 500 Index  gained 3.91 points, or 0.47 percent, at 829.35. The Nasdaq Composite Index  rose 3.05 points, or 0.20 percent, at 1,497.48. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> Cost cuts and favorable taxes helped Merck &amp; Co  and  Schering-Plough Corp  post quarterly results above Wall Street estimates. Merck was among the Dow&#8217;s biggest boosts, up 5.5 percent to $29.99, while Schering-Plough rose 5.3 percent to $18.40.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> Pending sales of existing U.S. home rebounded in December, according to data based on contracts signed, a promising indication after months of negative data.<br />
</span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> No. 1 U.S. home builder D.R. Horton  was the top percentage gainer on the New York Stock Exchange, surging more than 18 percent to $7.23. It reported a smaller-than-expected quarterly loss on Tuesday. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> Luxury home builder Toll Brothers  gained 4.2  percent to $17.70, while No. 3 U.S. home builder, Pulte Homes  , rose about 3.5 percent to $10.60, ahead of its  expected results on Wednesday. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> But the Nasdaq was hurt after SanDisk warned that revenue for the current quarter would fall short of expectations and said it may undertake an equity offering that could dilute shares by as much as 20 percent. The stock plunged nearly 23 percent to $8.71.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> Losses still plagued banks amid a lack of definitive measures to steady the sector. The KBW index of banking shares fell nearly 6 percent as investors worried that the government may have to nationalize the sector, or parts of it.<br />
</span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> Bank of America  tumbled 9.5 percent to $5.44, while  Citigroup  shed nearly 5 percent to $3.47, after hitting a  session low. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> Stability in the housing market and financial sector is critical to the recovery of the U.S. economy, which slipped into recession in December 2007. Investors are bracing for the U.S. payrolls report for January that is due for release on Friday morning, which could pin unemployment at 7.5 percent, the highest rate since September 1992. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;"> &#8220;It&#8217;s going to be tough to get anything really going before we get to that jobs report on Friday,&#8221; said Marc Pado, U.S. market strategist at Cantor Fitzgerald &amp; Co in San Francisco. &#8220;It&#8217;s looming like a dark cloud.&#8221; </span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica; font-size: x-small;">NEW YORK, Feb 3 (Reuters)</span></p>
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		<title>&#8216;The Cheater&#8217; Speaks</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/the-cheater-speaks/12365</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/the-cheater-speaks/12365#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 27 Jan 2009 15:38:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chuck Butler</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US Dollar & Forex Trading]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chinese Renminbi]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chuck Butler]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[currency rally]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[German Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gold Prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obama bailout]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obama bounce]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pound sterling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RBNZ]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tim Geithner]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US housing sales]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=12365</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Currencies rally&#8230;  IFO unexpectedly rises&#8230;  Norway looks good&#8230;  Gold hits $900 again! And Now&#8230; Today&#8217;s Pfennig!</p>
<p>Hey! What a day for the currencies yesterday! Geez Louise, it&#8217;s seems like it&#8217;s been a month of Sundays since I could say that! And there&#8217;s been follow up overnight, although, I do believe I&#8217;m seeing some profit taking right now&#8230; I went to radiation yesterday with the euro trading around 1.2965&#8230; I came back 2 hours later, and it was 1.31! And it didn&#8217;t stop there, trading up to 1.3175, but running into a wall of resistance there&#8230; But that was temporary, as the overnight market pushed the single unit higher to 1.3250&#8230; It did trade all the way up to 1.33 and change&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span id="Label1">Currencies rally&#8230;  IFO unexpectedly rises&#8230;  Norway looks good&#8230;  Gold hits $900 again! And Now&#8230; Today&#8217;s Pfennig!<span id="more-12365"></span></span></p>
<p>Hey! What a day for the currencies yesterday! Geez Louise, it&#8217;s seems like it&#8217;s been a month of Sundays since I could say that! And there&#8217;s been follow up overnight, although, I do believe I&#8217;m seeing some profit taking right now&#8230; I went to radiation yesterday with the euro trading around 1.2965&#8230; I came back 2 hours later, and it was 1.31! And it didn&#8217;t stop there, trading up to 1.3175, but running into a wall of resistance there&#8230; But that was temporary, as the overnight market pushed the single unit higher to 1.3250&#8230; It did trade all the way up to 1.33 and change on news that the German Business Confidence, as measured by the think tank IFO, unexpectedly rose for the first time in 8 months. This improvement was a result of the European Central Bank (ECB) cutting interest rates&#8230;</p>
<p>Of course, you know me&#8230; And I always say that one swallow doesn&#8217;t make a summer&#8230; And that can be used here, as this IFO report is just one sliver of hope for the German economy&#8230; There needs to be more, or this will report will be put in the rear view mirror soon. So, I&#8217;m not pinning my colors to the mast of a German economic recovery, just yet! But, the data did &#8220;goose&#8221; the euro higher, and for taking part in that, I give the IFO kudos!</p>
<p>The Big Winner of the day though, was pound sterling&#8230; In a case of an asset &#8220;falling too far, too fast&#8221;&#8230; The pound sterling has done a Super Ball Bounce from Friday&#8217;s price, and has rebounded to 1.4190&#8230; Of course, that&#8217;s a rally from Friday&#8217;s figure of 1.3570&#8230; It certainly STILL shows the rot on the vine in the U.K. from last summer&#8217;s 2.00 for pound sterling. I would be very careful here, as the U.K. is in the same boat, smaller in size, but the same boat as the U.S&#8230;.</p>
<p>I had a great lunch yesterday with the Big Boss, Frank Trotter, and we were discussing what we would talk about next week at the Orlando Money Show. I told Frank that I really believe in the prospects of a nice big rally in Norwegian krone&#8230; Let me tell you why&#8230; First and foremost, it remains a Surplus country&#8230; A positive balance of payments&#8230; And that surplus has allowed Norway to weather the storm that&#8217;s hit just about every other country in the world&#8230; See, why I believe the Surplus countries should always be considered when buying currencies? Anyway&#8230; The main reason it lost ground from last July&#8217;s levels is the drop in Oil prices&#8230; They like the other types of Commodity driven currencies like Aussie, Canada, Brazil, New Zealand, South Africa, just got hammered due to the selling in Commodities&#8230; But&#8230; You know my outlook for the inflation in this country, and that will be driving Commodity prices higher by year-end&#8230; But the leader in the forefront of all this move will, in my opinion, be Oil prices&#8230; And IF Oil prices rebound like I suspect they will, that will be a very nice underpin for Norwegian krone&#8230;</p>
<p>And Gold traded above $900 yesterday&#8230; It has seen some profit taking overnight, and fallen back to $896&#8230; But, again, these are stair steps to higher levels for the shiny metal&#8230; But then that&#8217;s just my opinion. You have to make your own investment decision&#8230;</p>
<p>OK, the data yesterday was not good, Yes, the Existing Home Sales moved higher, but only at the expense of a falling Home Price&#8230; The median home price was $175,400 in December, down 15.3% from $207,000 in December 2007, the National Association of Realtors said Monday. The median price in November this year was $180,300. Here&#8217;s the real indication that this rise in sales wasn&#8217;t at good levels&#8230; Of all sales in December, about 45% were distress sales at discounted prices. That&#8217;s foreclosures and auctions on foreclosed homes folks&#8230; I don&#8217;t think we want to get up on the fence and crow about this report&#8230;</p>
<p>And then, after all my harping about how the markets should pay closer attention to Leading Indicators data, the report for December showed an unexpected gain of .3%&#8230; Again, the one swallow doesn&#8217;t make a summer, applies here too&#8230; I&#8217;m from Missouri, and I&#8217;ll need to be shown more of this to believe it&#8230;</p>
<p>Today, we get the color of the S&amp;P/CaseShiller Home Price Index, which will repeat what yesterday&#8217;s Realtors report showed&#8230; Expect more rot on the vine here though, with home prices showing an -18% drop&#8230;</p>
<p>And we&#8217;ll see Consumer Confidence, which I suspect will bump higher in December, although in reality I don&#8217;t know why&#8230; But it most likely will, based on the stock market&#8217;s head fake rally in December&#8230;</p>
<p>I see that &#8220;the cheater&#8221; a.k.a. Tim Geithner was confirmed as our U.S. Treasury Sec. I really didn&#8217;t think I would ever have another punching bag Treasury Sec. like I had with King Henry Paulson, but, then along came &#8220;the cheater&#8221;&#8230; I have to tell you that this is scary stuff folks&#8230; In his confirmation he said, not once, but twice, that &#8220;President Obama, backed by the conclusions of a broad range of economists, believes that China is manipulating its currency. President Obama has pledged as President to use aggressively all the diplomatic avenues open to him to seek change in China&#8217;s currency practices.&#8221;</p>
<p>OK folks, this is where the problems begin&#8230; If in his confirmation, he&#8217;s making statements like that, you can expect that Obama will push for legislature to put tariffs on Chinese goods&#8230; Protectionism&#8230; This is ALL GOING IN THE WRONG DIRECTION!!!!!!! And believe me now and hear me later&#8230; &#8220;the cheater&#8221; didn&#8217;t just make up this response! This was given to him by Obama, and &#8220;the cheater&#8221; made certain that everyone hear him, by repeating the answer!</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve told you before, folks, that Protectionism is to a currency, like kryptonite is to Superman&#8230; So&#8230; Not only is the Gov&#8217;t on the path to spending even more than the previous administration spent, they look as though they will go down this protectionism path&#8230; Add to that, the recession and zero interest rates, and you&#8217;ve got the ingredients for a huge swat at the dollar&#8230;</p>
<p>I read a report by Stephen Jen of Morgan Stanley, where he writes that he believes the euro will trade back to 1.20 in the coming months&#8230; Well, that may be, and would play well with my Obama bounce thing&#8230; But with this all happening so fast in the past couple of days, I might have to rethink that Obama bounce thing&#8230; We may get an Obama bounce, but it may be for the euro and other currencies!</p>
<p>Oh&#8230; And one more thing on China, before I go on&#8230; The IMF&#8217;s Managing Director, Strauss-Kahn, was talking yesterday, and said, &#8220;I have said repeatedly that the renminbi is undervalued&#8221; He went on to add, &#8220;What we need is for the Chinese to change their policy and shift to more domestic-led growth than to focus on exports. Most Chinese officials are convinced that this is in their own interest.&#8221;</p>
<p>So&#8230; The IMF believes the renminbi is undervalued, and that the Chinese should do something about it, and so does the Obama administration&#8230; And you say, &#8220;Trade wars&#8221;? I bet you can! And not a good time for them either! Not when the whole globe is suffering&#8230; Dolts, all of them, they can&#8217;t see the Big Picture&#8230; Shame, Shame, Shame!</p>
<p>OK&#8230; I could really get going on all that&#8230; But&#8230; I&#8217;ll shift gears and talk about the bailouts&#8230; Have you seen the Neil Young, you know THE Neil Young, video on YouTube? He&#8217;s singing about the bailouts&#8230; Here are the lyrics&#8230;</p>
<p>There&#8217;s a bailout coming but it&#8217;s not for me<br />
It&#8217;s for all those creeps watching tickers on TV<br />
There&#8217;s a bailout coming but it&#8217;s not for me<br />
There&#8217;s a bailout coming but it&#8217;s not for you<br />
It&#8217;s for all those creeps hiding what they do<br />
There&#8217;s a bailout coming but it&#8217;s not for you<br />
Bailout coming but it&#8217;s not for you</p>
<p>So&#8230; When guys like Neil Young know that these bailouts aren&#8217;t working, and they aren&#8217;t good&#8230; It should be very apparent to the likes of Pelosi, and Obama&#8230;</p>
<p>Oh&#8230; And Home Depot announced 7,000 layoffs yesterday, Sprint announced 8,000 layoffs, while Caterpillar announced 20,000&#8230;</p>
<p>I&#8217;ll get to the Big Finish here in a minute&#8230; But first, and finally I wanted to talk briefly about New Zealand&#8230; The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) meets this week, and I truly expect them to continue their interest rate cutting. 325 BPS have already been cut from their once highest interest rate in the industrialized world&#8230; Finance Minister Bill English was speaking last night and said that the &#8220;economic outlook had deteriorated since the government’s Dec forecasts, and that the economy now looked to be closer to the Treasury’s “worst case scenario”.&#8221; In that scenario, he suggested that recession would continue through to 2010, the current account deficit would balloon beyond 10% of GDP, and unemployment would rise sharply rising. These aren&#8217;t &#8220;good times&#8221; for kiwis&#8230; So&#8230; Look for the weakness in the kiwi-dollar to remain in place here&#8230;</p>
<p>Currencies today 1/27/09: A$ .6625, kiwi .5280, C$ .8160, euro 1.3250, sterling 1.41, Swiss .8790, rand krone 6.7325, SEK 7.9660, forint 215.90, zloty 3.2950, koruna 21, yen 89, sing 1.4990, HKD 7.7690, INR 48.93, China 6.8615, pesos 14.05, BRL 2.3120, dollar index 84.36, Oil $46.27, Silver $12, and Gold&#8230; $897.40<br />
<a href="http://dailypfennig.com/currentIssue.aspx?date=1/27/2009"><br />
Source: &#8216;The Cheater&#8217; Speaks</a></p>
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