A great way to play the airlines woes is by investing in vanadium. The little-known metal is in high demand due its use in fuel-efficient engine technology. Its primary use is in ultra-light, super-strong metal alloys.

Vanadium is scarce. And there’s high demand for it. This makes it a great investment, says Chris Mayer…

Ultra high-strength and super-light steels are the plastics of the 21st century. There is high demand for these steels for use in everything from jet engines to rail components. In turn, there is a big push for the quirky metals so critical in making them. And in those quirky metals are good opportunities for investors. One of them is vanadium.

For some industries, such as airlines, finding a more fuel-efficient way to do business is a matter of survival. According to a recent Financial Times article, it’s “triggered a massive jump in the price of obscure and scarce metals that are used to improve the fuel economy of jet engines.”

The quest for fuel-efficiency goes beyond just the airlines, of course. It extends to rail cars and automobiles, to power plants and high-speed drilling. Vanadium’s primary use: to strengthen steel. Combine it with titanium and you get the best strength-to-weight ratio of any engineered material. That makes it practically irreplaceable in aerospace and other industries. Companies also use vanadium to produce sulfuric acid, and in nuclear power plants. Vanadium also promises new advances in battery technology. Giant vanadium batteries power wind farms and solar power plants.

In the great infrastructure boom, vanadium takes its place at the table of other rare and obscure metals that are growing much more important. The price of vanadium, as with many of these metals, is way up. For most of last year, vanadium cost $40 per kilogram. In February, it hit $90 per kilogram. It has since come back some, but it rallied to over $80 again recently.

The rocketing vanadium price is no mystery. Demand is strong, while supplies are constrained. A big part of the supply constraint lies in South Africa. That’s because a massive electricity shortage is preventing many mines from operating at full capacity. As the CEO of Windimurra Vanadium (ASX:WVL), an Australian mining company, put it: “The market is very sensitive to power supply issues. Large South African miners are facing up to 15 percent restrictions to their power supply… The supply of vanadium will remain tight, and that’s factoring in a best scenario for South African producers, which is no guarantee.” In March, Xstrata (LON:XTA), which produces about 12 percent of the world’s vanadium, said it would cut its deliveries by 10-15 percent in the second quarter. And Highveld, the world’s biggest producer of vanadium, said in February that power outages posed a “considerable threat” to future output.

The vanadium market also has some interesting quirks. For example, 98 percent of the world’s vanadium comes from only three countries — China, Russia and South Africa. South Africa, we know, has power issues. China’s Sichuan province, devastated by earthquake, was also a rich vanadium producer. Moreover, China is becoming as much a consumer of vanadium as a producer. So vanadium exports from China are dropping. Last year, China ended its export credits for vanadium because it needed the metal more at home. This year, China went further and put an export tariff in place.

China’s vanadium use per quantity of steel is still well behind the curve compared with the U.S.’ If China were to use as much vanadium as U.S. steel producers, the vanadium market would face a one-third increase in demand. That’s a pretty nice long-term tail wind for vanadium.

Russia’s Evraz Group (LON:EVR) is the world’s largest producer of vanadium, with about 27 percent of supply. I think it’s safe to say that Russia has been an uneven producer of certain commodities. And as the Russians like to change the rules of the game as it suits them, I would not rely too heavily on Russian supply. And finally, there are no stockpiles of vanadium or substitutes of equal quality.

So where are the opportunities?

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It’s tough to find a good pure play that is easy to buy. Most of the producers are in China or South Africa or Australia. And these producers make lots of other metals. You wouldn’t buy Xstrata just because you like vanadium. You’d also have to understand a host of other metals that contribute much more to Xstrata’s bottom line than vanadium. One interesting company is Denison Mines (AMEX:DNN). Vanadium could represent up to a third of Denison Mines’ revenues in 2008. The problem with Denison is that it is mainly a uranium play. To invest in Denison, you have to like uranium; you get the vanadium exposure as a bonus. Denison is probably cheap, although I haven’t looked at it in great detail.

Some of the best ideas are just in the prospecting stage or emerging as producers. There are a few in Australia, including Windimurra Vanadium and Reed Resources. Both have big vanadium resources and could each eventually represent 6-8 percent of global production.

One of my favorite vanadium ideas I’m keeping an eye on is Largo Resources (CVE:LGO). Largo has the world’s highest-grade vanadium mine, in Brazil. It’s close to infrastructure and located in a mining-friendly state. The company should have a completed feasibility study in July. Production should start in 2010. It’s highly speculative, but promising.

The company also has a molybdenum and tungsten project in the Yukon, called Northern Dance. These metals are also important in infrastructure.

Scarcity is a great thing when you are an investor. Finding companies that own something scarce — with good long-term demand behind it — is a winning formula for finding good ideas.

Source: Finding Fuel Efficient Metals

For the tale of the tape, the TSX Exchange fell 1.88%, while the TSX Gold Index gave back 0.8% and the TSX Venture Exchange, Canada’s largest junior exploration bourse, dropped 0.58% with the declining issuers once again outpacing the advancers, this time by a 644 to 430 margin on big volume of nearly 262 million shares traded.

Kadywood Capital increased its C$200 million financing to C$260 million. The private placement will fund the purchase of 50% of the contained gold, platinum and palladium metal in ore mined and shipped from multiple FNX Mining operations in Ontario. Kadywood intends to change its name to Gold Wheaton. Kadywood ended the day down C$0.09 at C$1.10, while FNX added C$0.43 to close at C$25.70.

Largo Resources continued to benefit from its exploration exposure to vanadium as well as news that it has launched a scoping study over the Northern Dancer tungsten-molybdenum project in the Yukon. Largo can earn a 70% stake by issuing 4 million shares and spending C$5 million on exploration. Largo can then purchase the remaining interest from Strategic Metals for C$5 million in cash or stock at Strategic’s election. Largo ended the day up C$0.19 at C$1.40, while Strategic gained C$0.01 at C$0.52.

Pediment Exploration got a modest boost after reporting a 13.7 metre drill intercept running 16.3 grams gold per tonne at its Los Planes deposit in Mexico. Pediment closed out the day at C$1.54, up C$0.03.

Inflationary pressure continues to be a concern to the equity markets with rising interest rates typically bad for stocks. We will see what Friday trading has in store.

Source: Resource Stock Roundup: Friday, June 20th, 2008

But how do you uncover and identify the very best small cap companies?

Well, the trick is to identify specific market niches that are in the very early stages of growth – and invest in the companies (if any) that are positioned to exponentially grow sales, revenues, and profits when these market sectors take flight.

In this spirit, here are three of the top market niches that I’ve recently identified – and the corresponding small cap stock charts that fit into each powerful category.

Market Niche: Bullish on Titanium

I find it amazing that we’re in the heart of a commodity boom – not one in a hundred commodity investors realizes that titanium (not steel) will soon be viewed as “The Metal of the 21st Century.” In fact, while steel stocks are blasting higher across the board, one small cap titanium stock (listed below) could be one of the best investing opportunity you see all year.

Here’s the situation…

Discovered in 1791 and named after Titans of Greek mythology, titanium is a light, strong, and corrosion-resistant metal with a grayish color. The two most useful properties of titanium are the fact that it’s resistant to corrosion and that it has the highest strength-to-weight ratio of any metal.

In its unalloyed condition, for example, titanium is as strong as steel but 45% lighter.

As you can imagine, this unique combination of strength, light weight, and corrosion resistance makes titanium useful in hundreds of applications. For example, it can be alloyed with iron, aluminum, vanadium, or molybdenum to produce alloys for jet engines, missiles, spacecrafts, petro-chemicals, or desalination plants.

If you’ve bought a new golf club in the last 12 months, odds are the overweight head on your driver is made of titanium.

And here’s the thing. When you consider the cost benefits of titanium on lifetime basis, the market is quickly discovering that no other metal is as reliable or as economical as titanium.

It’s categorized into the “Nonferrous Metals” group, which is defined as a metal (other than iron) such as copper, lead, zinc, nickel, and aluminum – and this is one of the specific sector niches that I’m bullish on right now.

The top small cap company that’ll capitalize off this titanium bullishness is Titanium Metals (TIE – NYSE). And in fact, TIE just might be the most undervalued stock on the S&P 500.

After all, if you run a screen of stocks on the S&P 500 that are down over 30% in the past three months and that also carry double digit earnings growth forecasts for the next fiscal year, the one company with the most attractive readings is TIE!

Their 3-month percent change is -42.5%, yet their Earnings Per Share growth rate currently stands at 35.3%. No other stock, which has fallen over 31%, has earnings per share growth this high. Not even Google (GOOG – Nasdaq)!

Therefore, you can realistically argue that TIE is the most under-valued stock on the S&P 500 right now. No other company with an EPS growth rate of 35% has fallen so far, and the best part is, most investors don’t realize this fact.

I’m currently recommending shares of TIE in my Bottarelli Research Small Cap letter, and I advise you to pick up some shares as well.

Sincerely,
Bryan Bottarelli
Editor, Bottarelli Research Small Cap

P.S. If you’d like more information on Bottarelli Research Small Cap, we invite you to review the letter below: