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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; wall street crash</title>
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		<title>Lehman Brothers Expected to Pull Through</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/lehman-brothers-subprimes-latest-victim/2853</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/lehman-brothers-subprimes-latest-victim/2853#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Jun 2008 11:20:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Contrarian Profits</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bear Stearns]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[credit crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Credit Crunch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Daily Reckoning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[global credit crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Credit Crunch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lehman Bros]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lehman Brothers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[subprime]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wall street crash]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/lehman-brothers-subprimes-latest-victim/2853</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Lehman Brothers, the fourth largest US investment bank, is at the centre of a storm of bad news stories.</p>
<p>Shares in the Wall Street powerhouse tumbled 31% last month on the NYSE on expections of heavy Q2 losses and the likelihood that the bank will have to raise cash to cover subprime-related writedowns. However, unlike rival Bear Stearns, the word on the Street is that <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&#38;sid=aH.xwU0y0hTA" title="Open in a new window for more information">Lehman will survive</a>.</p>
<p>&#8220;<a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/big-bens-loose-lips/2821" title="Read more.">On Wall Street, after Bear Stearns fainted, the other financial firms took smelling salts</a>,&#8221; says <a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/author/bill-bonner/"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Bill Bonner</a> in The <a href="http://www.dailyreckoning.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Daily Reckoning</a>.</p>
<blockquote><p>But some of them are beginning to look a little woozy, nevertheless. Lehman Bros. is said to be looking for $3 to $4 billion in new capital. The company has nine times as much in&#8230;</p></blockquote>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Lehman Brothers, the fourth largest US investment bank, is at the centre of a storm of bad news stories.</p>
<p>Shares in the Wall Street powerhouse tumbled 31% last month on the NYSE on expections of heavy Q2 losses and the likelihood that the bank will have to raise cash to cover subprime-related writedowns. However, unlike rival Bear Stearns, the word on the Street is that <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&amp;sid=aH.xwU0y0hTA" title="Open in a new window for more information">Lehman will survive</a>.</p>
<p>&#8220;<a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/big-bens-loose-lips/2821" title="Read more.">On Wall Street, after Bear Stearns fainted, the other financial firms took smelling salts</a>,&#8221; says <a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/author/bill-bonner/"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Bill Bonner</a> in The <a href="http://www.dailyreckoning.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Daily Reckoning</a>.<span id="more-2853"></span></p>
<blockquote><p>But some of them are beginning to look a little woozy, nevertheless. Lehman Bros. is said to be looking for $3 to $4 billion in new capital. The company has nine times as much in level 2 and level 3 assets as it has in tangible equity. And it’s not the worst. Merrill Lynch’s level 2 and level 3 assets equal 2,565% of its tangible equity.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>And dear readers, be aware: “There’s another Bear Stearns out there,” say our friends over at The Motley Fool. “You may already own it. And just as with Bear Stearns, chances are you won’t see the collapse coming until it’s too late.”</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>Colleague Dan Amoss, over at Strategic Short Report, has pinpointed the next Bear Stearns – and warns that there is another credit crisis ready to jam the pipeline.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>“Right now,” he tells us, “this company is desperately scrambling to dump more of its weak, illiquid assets…while laying off employees by the thousands…in a desperate bid to ‘fix’ its Wall Street profile, keep its ’shameful secret’ under wraps, and protect its stock.”</p>
<p>But that won’t work, Dan continues. “Buried deep in this firm’s mysterious ‘Level 3′ assets, where banks have regularly hid their riskiest mortgage-backed securities, this one company already has one very large multibillion-dollar real-estate-based asset that &#8211; just by itself &#8211; could be worth nearly 30% less than it was when this firm bought it.</p>
<p>“When this firm is forced to beef up earnings by selling this one asset, you’re already looking at billions in write-down losses right there. And that’s just where the unraveling begins.”</p></blockquote>
<p>&#8220;<a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/why-mark-to-market-is-bad-news-for-shareholders/2798/2" title="Read more.">Don’t buy shares of financial service companies with &#8216;Level 3&#8242; assets of more than their capital</a>,&#8221; says Martin Hutchinson in <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Money Morning</a></p>
<blockquote><p>That’s all the “Big Four” investment banks including Goldman Sachs, Merrill Lynch &amp; Co. Inc. (MER<a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/why-mark-to-market-is-bad-news-for-shareholders/2798/2" title="Read more">), Morgan Stanley  (</a><a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/why-mark-to-market-is-bad-news-for-shareholders/2798/2" title="Read more">MS</a><a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/why-mark-to-market-is-bad-news-for-shareholders/2798/2" title="Read more">) and Lehman  Bros. Holdings Inc. (</a><a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/why-mark-to-market-is-bad-news-for-shareholders/2798/2" title="Read more">LEH</a><a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/why-mark-to-market-is-bad-news-for-shareholders/2798/2" title="Read more">),</a> and most of the big commercial banks, too. Those Level 3 assets are probably worth very little in a real downturn, because there is no market for the assets and everybody else will be trying to sell them too.</p></blockquote>
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		<title>Housing Crisis Hits Manhattan</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/housing-crisis-looms-over-wall-street/2857</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/housing-crisis-looms-over-wall-street/2857#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Jun 2008 10:47:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Contrarian Profits</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[credit crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Credit Crunch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Credit Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Daily Reckoning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Eric Roseman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[global credit crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Housing Crisis Inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[James Howard Kunstler]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Loans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wall Street]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wall street crash]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/housing-crisis-looms-over-wall-street/2857</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Home prices  in Manhattan have remained largely immune from the <a href="http://biz.yahoo.com/rb/080604/usa_housing_wallstreet.html?.v=1" title="Open in a new window for more information">housing crisis</a> gripping the US&#8230; until now.</p>
<p>According to Reuters, the New York real-estate market is showing a significant reduction in new deals as Wall Street sheds staff to reduce costs.</p>
<p>“For the most part, the <a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/is-sub-prime-finally-over-yes-and-no/2590" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank">subprime crisis</a> is past its inflection point,” says Eric Roseman in the Offshore A-Letter. “What matters now is how and when other credit indicators normalize.”</p>
<p>But Eric is highly dubious that credit markets have bottomed.</p>
<blockquote><p> Sub-prime is now largely history. But other segments of the credit spectrum that have a far more profound impact on the American consumer are just beginning to unravel.</p>
<p>The consumer is now threatened by a liquidity crisis. Housing values continue to heavily contract and revolving credit&#8230;</p></blockquote>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Home prices  in Manhattan have remained largely immune from the <a href="http://biz.yahoo.com/rb/080604/usa_housing_wallstreet.html?.v=1" title="Open in a new window for more information">housing crisis</a> gripping the US&#8230; until now.</p>
<p>According to Reuters, the New York real-estate market is showing a significant reduction in new deals as Wall Street sheds staff to reduce costs.</p>
<p>“For the most part, the <a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/is-sub-prime-finally-over-yes-and-no/2590" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank">subprime crisis</a> is past its inflection point,” says Eric Roseman in the Offshore A-Letter. “What matters now is how and when other credit indicators normalize.”<span id="more-2857"></span></p>
<p>But Eric is highly dubious that credit markets have bottomed.</p>
<blockquote><p> Sub-prime is now largely history. But other segments of the credit spectrum that have a far more profound impact on the American consumer are just beginning to unravel.</p>
<p>The consumer is now threatened by a liquidity crisis. Housing values continue to heavily contract and revolving credit installment debt is becoming harder to secure.</p>
<p>The culprit is less the write-downs themselves and more the virtual “shutdown” in the securitization market. At its height, the securitization market provided 66% of household borrowings in the first quarter of 2007. Without this market, consumer credit losses may be far worse than currently estimated.</p>
<p>Auto loans, personal loans, mortgage loans, and other segments of installment debt are still contracting. Auto loans are especially vulnerable with defaults recently hitting a 10-year high of 3.4% in March. And more Americans are dropping their house keys to their local lenders as housing values continue to plunge below the cost of their mortgages.</p></blockquote>
<p>James Howard Kunstler in The <a href="http://www.dailyreckoning.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Daily Reckoning</a> considers the effects of <a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/far-from-normal/2619" title="Read more">oil scarcity and the housing bubble</a> hitting at the same time: &#8220;The logical conclusion of all this is not what the American public wants to hear: we have become a much poorer society and are now faced with the unavoidable task of making major changes in how we live.&#8221;</p>
<blockquote><p>All the three-card-monte moves at the highest level of finance lately amount to an effort to avoid the unavoidable, acknowledging our losses. Certainly the political fallout of all this will be awesome. But it’s not about politics, really. It’s about the entire society’s inability to form a workable new consensus of reality.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>It’s hard to predict how long these institutions at the heart of our economic system can linger in the “far from normal” limbo of pretending that money has not been defaulted out of existence. Since the same process is underway in Great Britain and Spain, places beyond the control of Bernanke, Secretary Paulson, and the Boyz on Wall Street, and since actions and reactions there will affect the destiny of money here, its hard to escape the conclusion that we’re at most months away from the brutal recognition that Wall Street has managed to bankrupt itself (and, by extension, the United States).</p>
<p>This is dark heart of the matter of which no one dares speak.</p></blockquote>
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		<title>Bernanke: No More Rate Cuts</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/bernanke-no-more-rate-cuts/2766</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/bernanke-no-more-rate-cuts/2766#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Jun 2008 10:59:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Contrarian Profits</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ben Bernanke]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[credit crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Credit Crunch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[deflation]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Tax Rebates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US recession]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/bernanke-no-more-rate-cuts/2766</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The US dollar made a comeback after Federal Reserve chief Ben Bernanke warned that a weaker US currency encouraged inflation and said there would be no more rate cuts for the time being.</p>
<p>The greenback climbed more than 1 cent against the euro, and the price of gold dropped $8 after Bernanke&#8217;s remarks.</p>
<p>&#8220;All <a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/four-things-to-ponder-and-three-ways-to-act-when-it-comes-to-the-fed/2747" title="Read more">inflationary measures</a> are rising<a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/four-things-to-ponder-and-three-ways-to-act-when-it-comes-to-the-fed/2747" title="Read more"> </a>and have been for over a year now,&#8221; says Keith Fitz-Gerald in <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Money Morning</a>, &#8220;despite the fact that the Fed has apparently only just recently noticed inflation is rising faster than it would like.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;And it explains why commodities, some consumer durables and other traditional hiding places continue to defy all odds and rise despite record high valuations like oil, for example. The Fed isn’t running the&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The US dollar made a comeback after Federal Reserve chief Ben Bernanke warned that a weaker US currency encouraged inflation and said there would be no more rate cuts for the time being.</p>
<p>The greenback climbed more than 1 cent against the euro, and the price of gold dropped $8 after Bernanke&#8217;s remarks.</p>
<p>&#8220;All <a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/four-things-to-ponder-and-three-ways-to-act-when-it-comes-to-the-fed/2747" title="Read more">inflationary measures</a> are rising<a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/four-things-to-ponder-and-three-ways-to-act-when-it-comes-to-the-fed/2747" title="Read more"> </a>and have been for over a year now,&#8221; says Keith Fitz-Gerald in <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Money Morning</a>, &#8220;despite the fact that the Fed has apparently only just recently noticed inflation is rising faster than it would like.&#8221;<span id="more-2766"></span></p>
<p>&#8220;And it explains why commodities, some consumer durables and other traditional hiding places continue to defy all odds and rise despite record high valuations like oil, for example. The Fed isn’t running the show and never has, despite what the media and most people seem to think.</p>
<p>&#8220;And &#8216;nowhere,&#8217; as legendary investor <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jim_Rogers">Jim Rogers</a> pointed out when I talked with him recently at his home in Singapore, &#8216;does the Federal Reserve Act say the Fed is supposed to bailout Wall Street.&#8217; Which means that uninformed investors may be reading something into the Fed’s actions that the Fed itself isn’t charged with.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;<a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/far-from-normal/2619" title="Read more">The Federal Reserve itself has been instrumental in promoting abnormality</a>,&#8221; says James Howard Kunstler in The <a href="http://www.dailyreckoning.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Daily Reckoning</a>, &#8220;by doing everything possible to prevent the work-out of bad debts in the system. Since money is loaned into existence, and loans are debts, the work-out of bad debt suggests the discovery that a lot of money has disappeared — which is exactly the case.</p>
<p>&#8220;The Fed has postponed the work-out by sucking up truckloads of impaired, untradable securities in exchange for loans to giant banks who don’t have enough cash on hand to pay their janitors.&#8221;</p>
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