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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; Walt Disney</title>
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		<title>This Week’s Profit Reports Could Render Final Verdict on First Quarter Earnings Season</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/this-week%e2%80%99s-profit-reports-could-render-final-verdict-on-first-quarter-earnings-season/1803</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/this-week%e2%80%99s-profit-reports-could-render-final-verdict-on-first-quarter-earnings-season/1803#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 May 2008 13:16:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>William Patalon III</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock Market Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AIG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[American International Group]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chevron]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cisco Systems]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CSCO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CVX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DIS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Exxon Mobil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fed]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ford Motor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gdp]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GOOG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[International Group]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[JAVA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kellog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[KFT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[M&A]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MSFT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TWC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TWX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Visa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Walt Disney]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[XOM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[YHOO]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/this-week%e2%80%99s-profit-reports-could-render-final-verdict-on-first-quarter-earnings-season/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>With earnings season starting to wind down, investors are not anticipating many new surprises.  </p>
<p>Still, a few prominent players are set to report this week led by <strong>The Walt</strong> <strong>Disney Co. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=disney&#38;hl=en" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="disney&#38;hl=en_1";return"DIS/a) /strong(entertainment), strongCisco Systems Inc. (a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=csco&#38;hl=en&#38;meta=hl%3Den" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="csco&#38;hl=en&#38;meta=hl%3Den_1";return">CSCO</a>)</strong> (tech), and<strong> American International Group  Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=aig&#38;hl=en&#38;meta=hl%3Den" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="aig&#38;hl=en&#38;meta=hl%3Den_1";return"AIG/a)/strong (financial services)./p
pThe strongMicrosoft Corp. (a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=msft&#38;hl=en&#38;meta=hl%3Den" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="msft&#38;hl=en&#38;meta=hl%3Den_1";return">MSFT</a>)</strong>/<strong>Yahoo Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ%3AYHOO" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="NASDAQ%3AYHOO_1";return"YHOO/a)/strong (and  occasionally strongGoogle Inc. (a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=goog&#38;hl=en&#38;meta=hl%3Den" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="goog&#38;hl=en&#38;meta=hl%3Den_1";return">GOOG</a>)</strong>) soap opera will be worth watching &#8211; if only to make sure that Microsoft’s withdrawal isn’t a cover ploy for a hostile run at Yahoo [<strong>For a related news  story in this issue of <em><a href="http://www.moneymorning.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Money Morning</a></em> that details <u>Microsoft’s  decision drop its pursuit of Yahoo</u>, please <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/05/05/microsoft-withdraws-yahoo-bid/" onclick="s_objectID=">click here</a></strong>].</p>
<p>A slow schedule on this week’s economic calendar will prompt a much greater focus on the dollar as investors speculate on whether the price run-up in commodities &#8211; and oil &#8211; is at, or near its&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>With earnings season starting to wind down, investors are not anticipating many new surprises.  <span id="more-1803"></span></p>
<p>Still, a few prominent players are set to report this week led by <strong>The Walt</strong> <strong>Disney Co. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=disney&amp;hl=en" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="disney&amp;hl=en_1";return">DIS</a>) </strong>(entertainment), <strong>Cisco Systems Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=csco&amp;hl=en&amp;meta=hl%3Den" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="csco&amp;hl=en&amp;meta=hl%3Den_1";return">CSCO</a>)</strong> (tech), and<strong> American International Group  Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=aig&amp;hl=en&amp;meta=hl%3Den" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="aig&amp;hl=en&amp;meta=hl%3Den_1";return">AIG</a>)</strong> (financial services).</p>
<p>The <strong>Microsoft Corp. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=msft&amp;hl=en&amp;meta=hl%3Den" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="msft&amp;hl=en&amp;meta=hl%3Den_1";return">MSFT</a>)</strong>/<strong>Yahoo Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ%3AYHOO" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="NASDAQ%3AYHOO_1";return">YHOO</a>)</strong> (and  occasionally <strong>Google Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=goog&amp;hl=en&amp;meta=hl%3Den" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="goog&amp;hl=en&amp;meta=hl%3Den_1";return">GOOG</a>)</strong>) soap opera will be worth watching &#8211; if only to make sure that Microsoft’s withdrawal isn’t a cover ploy for a hostile run at Yahoo [<strong>For a related news  story in this issue of <em><a href="http://www.moneymorning.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Money Morning</a></em> that details <u>Microsoft’s  decision drop its pursuit of Yahoo</u>, please <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/05/05/microsoft-withdraws-yahoo-bid/" onclick="s_objectID=">click here</a></strong>].</p>
<p>A slow schedule on this week’s economic calendar will prompt a much greater focus on the dollar as investors speculate on whether the price run-up in commodities &#8211; and oil &#8211; is at, or near its end. Gold prices will help make that determination [<strong>For <u>a related news analysis of gold prices</u> in this  issue of <em>Money Morning</em>, please <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/05/05/making-sense-of-and-profiting-from-golds-dip-below-850/" onclick="s_objectID=">click here</a></strong>].</p>
<p>U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke is scheduled to address the Columbia Business School on mortgage issues, though he’ll surely also be asked about central bank policies by a rapt audience whose members will hang on his every word.  [Wasn’t he supposed to be on vacation?]</p>
<p>Last week’s earnings saw some  energy companies that were benefiting from the most recent surge in energy  prices. Though <strong>Exxon Mobil Corp</strong>. <strong>(<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=xom&amp;hl=en" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="xom&amp;hl=en_1";return">XOM</a>) </strong>only claimed the second-highest profit ever (it also holds the title for the single best quarter ever), the results nevertheless disappointed Wall Street, which was obviously pulling for a new record.</p>
<p>Likewise, <strong>Chevron Corp. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ACVX" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="NYSE%3ACVX_1";return">CVX</a>)</strong> and <strong>BP</strong> <strong>PLC (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ABP" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="NYSE%3ABP_1";return">BP</a>)</strong> reported  favorable periods.  <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/03/20/after-its-u.s.-record-ipo-visas-shares-should-generate-long-term-profits-for-investors-an-expert-says/" onclick="s_objectID=">In  the wake of the recent initial public offering (IPO) of credit-card processor <strong>Visa  Inc.</strong></a><strong> (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AV" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="NYSE%3AV_1";return">V</a>),</strong> rival <strong>MasterCard</strong> <strong>Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AMA" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="NYSE%3AMA_1";return">MA</a>)</strong> doubled its  earnings last quarter as its international business helped overcome domestic  weakness.  Consumer-products giant <strong>The</strong> <strong>Procter &amp; Gamble</strong> <strong>Co. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3APG" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="NYSE%3APG_1";return">PG</a>)</strong> also received good news from overseas with higher sales of consumer goods like diapers (Pampers), razors (Gillette), and shampoo (Head &amp; Shoulders) from certain emerging markets.</p>
<p>Not all was rosy, however, as <strong>Sun Microsystems Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ%3AJAVA" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="NASDAQ%3AJAVA_1";return">JAVA</a>)</strong> and food  giants <strong>Kellogg</strong> <strong>Co. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AK" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="NYSE%3AK_1";return">K</a>)</strong> and new Warren  Buffet favorite <strong>Kraft</strong> <strong>Foods Inc.  (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AKFT" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="NYSE%3AKFT_1";return">KFT</a>)</strong> each  fell prey to the continued economic &#8220;challenges&#8221; in the U.S. market.</p>
<p>On the transactional front,  investor Kirk Kerkorian will boost his stake in <strong>Ford Motor Co. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=f&amp;hl=en" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="f&amp;hl=en_1";return">F</a>)</strong>,  in turn a nice boost for the domestic auto industry. <strong>Time Warner Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ATWX" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="NYSE%3ATWX_1";return">TWX</a>) </strong>will be <a href="http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2008/05/01/whats-next-for-time-warner-cable.aspx" onclick="s_objectID=">spinning  off its 84% stake in its cable operation</a>, <strong>Time Warner Cable Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ATWC" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="NYSE%3ATWC_1";return">TWC</a>)</strong>.</p>
<p>And privately held M&amp;M’s-maker <strong>Mars  Inc</strong>. will buy <strong>Wm. Wrigley Jr. Co. </strong>(<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AWWY" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="NYSE%3AWWY_1";return">WWY</a>) for over $20  billion in cash <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/04/29/mars-teams-up-with-berkshire-hathaway-and-warren-buffett-in-23-billion-buyout-of-wrigley/" onclick="s_objectID=">with  financing help from famed sweet-tooth junkie, Warren Buffett</a>.</p>
<h3>Market Matters</h3>
<p align="center">&nbsp;</p>
<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="450">
<tr>
<td><strong>Market/Index</strong></td>
<td>
<p align="center"><strong>Previous    Week</strong><br />
<strong>(04/25/08)</strong></td>
<td>
<p align="center"><strong>Current    Week </strong><br />
<strong>(05/02/08)</strong></td>
<td>
<p align="center"><strong>YTD    Change</strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones    Industrial</td>
<td>
<p align="right">12,891.86</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="right"><strong>13,058.20</strong><strong> </strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="right"><strong>-1.56%</strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NASDAQ</td>
<td>
<p align="right">2,422.93</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="right"><strong>2,476.99</strong><strong> </strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="right"><strong>-6.61%</strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>
<p align="right">1,397.84</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="right"><strong>1,413.90</strong><strong> </strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="right"><strong>-3.71%</strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>
<p align="right">721.88</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="right"><strong>725.74</strong><strong> </strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="right"><strong>-5.26%</strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Fed Funds</td>
<td>
<p align="right">2.25%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="right"><strong>2.00%</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="right"><strong>-225 bps</strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>10 yr Treasury    (Yield)</td>
<td>
<p align="right">3.87%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="right"><strong>3.85%</strong><strong> </strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="right"><strong>-19 bps</strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>Recession?  What recession?  For days, weeks, even months now, naysayers had been predicting the emergence of that dreaded &#8220;R&#8221; word with the release of 1st quarter GDP.  Additionally, they claimed that the labor picture would continue to worsen, gas prices would hit $4 a gallon by summer, the dollar would be worth next to nothing, corporate earnings would signal more &#8220;gloom and doom,&#8221; and high-net-worth investors would be making dramatic allocation shifts from the &#8220;risky&#8221; equity markets.</p>
<p>Not so fast … the data released last week appeared to portray an economy closer to a rebound &#8211; far from the dire business climate the gloom-and-doomers had been predicting. A stronger dollar that may have placed a ceiling on oil (and other commodities) prices, and rich folks seemed to be looking for bargains in stocks.</p>
<p>Do we here at <strong><em>Money  Morning</em></strong> buy into that totally bullish scenario?</p>
<p>Not necessarily.</p>
<p>But we do agree that the next  few days, weeks, and months are going to get more interesting.</p>
<p>The latest <strong><a href="http://content.members.fidelity.com/Inside_Fidelity/fullStory/1,,7577,00.html" onclick="s_objectID=">Fidelity  Investment’s <em>Millionaire Outlook</em></a></strong> reported (mildly) bullish findings among its surveyed investors who have average investable assets topping $4 million.  Instead of decreasing their equity allocations, 27% of these millionaires plan to add stock positions during the next 12 months. Only 7% expect to sell out of equities, which logically deduces 66% will be staying the course.  Real estate seems to be another &#8220;favored&#8221; asset class, as 14% of respondents say they will increase exposure to related investments.  That doesn’t quite sound like &#8220;gloom and doom&#8221; at once.</p>
<p>Oil flirted with the $120 a barrel level before sliding on a stronger dollar and news that the Fed may play the &#8220;wait and see&#8221; game (see below).  Equity investors again took a &#8220;things could have been worse&#8221; approach and sought out value in the aftermath of last week’s economic and earnings reports.  Some analysts believe that a stronger dollar will mean the end to the rally in commodities, and investors (hedge funds) will take some related profits and move back into stocks.</p>
<p>Despite all the recent  negativity, the <strong><a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=983582" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?cid="983582_1";return">Dow  Jones Industrial Average</a></strong> surged more than 500 points in April, and the <strong><a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=626307" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?cid="626307_1";return">Standard &amp; Poor’s 500  Index</a></strong> and <strong><a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=13756934" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?cid="13756934_1";return">Nasdaq  Composite Index</a></strong> both rose about 5% &#8211; hardly the recessionary results  many had been anticipating.</p>
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