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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; WHR</title>
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		<title>Global Investment News Briefs Tuesday, February 10th, 2009</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/global-investment-news-briefs-tuesday-february-10th-2009/13270</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/global-investment-news-briefs-tuesday-february-10th-2009/13270#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 10 Feb 2009 12:00:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>William Patalon III</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bnp Paribas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China Exports]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Economic Crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hugo Chavez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[JPM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SAY]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SBUX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Venezuela economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WHR]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=13270</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Report: China Exports Likely Down 14%; Whirlpool Sales Sink 76%; Starbucks Adding Value Meals; Chavez: Venezuela Untouched by Crisis; Defaults on Jumbo ARMS Could Double; Satyam to Decide on Action Plan Following Scandal</p>
<ul type="disc">
<li>A team       of economists estimate that China’s <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601089&#38;sid=aAptymwg0pTc&#38;refer=china">January       exports likely fell 14% from a year earlier</a>, which would be the       biggest monthly decline in a decade, <strong><em>Bloomberg </em></strong>reported. With demand from the United States and Europe waning, “the implications for China’s industrial sector are severe because exports account for close to 20 percent of industrial output,” Isaac Meng, a senior economist at BNP Paribas SA in Beijing, told Bloomberg.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li>Sales       for appliance maker <strong>Whirlpool Corp.</strong> (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AWHR">WHR</a>) <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/ousiv/idUSTRE5182U320090209">fell 76%       for the quarter</a>, and the company said earnings would continue falling in&#8230;</li></ul>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Report: China Exports Likely Down 14%; Whirlpool Sales Sink 76%; Starbucks Adding Value Meals; Chavez: Venezuela Untouched by Crisis; Defaults on Jumbo ARMS Could Double; Satyam to Decide on Action Plan Following Scandal<span id="more-13270"></span></p>
<ul type="disc">
<li>A team       of economists estimate that China’s <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601089&amp;sid=aAptymwg0pTc&amp;refer=china">January       exports likely fell 14% from a year earlier</a>, which would be the       biggest monthly decline in a decade, <strong><em>Bloomberg </em></strong>reported. With demand from the United States and Europe waning, “the implications for China’s industrial sector are severe because exports account for close to 20 percent of industrial output,” Isaac Meng, a senior economist at BNP Paribas SA in Beijing, told Bloomberg.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li>Sales       for appliance maker <strong>Whirlpool Corp.</strong> (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AWHR">WHR</a>) <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/ousiv/idUSTRE5182U320090209">fell 76%       for the quarter</a>, and the company said earnings would continue falling in 2009. Its debt ratings have also been downgraded to a notch about “junk” status, <strong><em>Reuters </em></strong>reported.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li>Coffee giant <strong>Starbucks Corp. </strong>(<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=sbux">SBUX</a>) <a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/starbucks-offer-discount-deals/story.aspx?guid=%7B7AF0A301-6A6A-4D2D-AF54-348086D67915%7D&amp;dist=msr_1">will       begin an all-day value meal</a>, pairing its beverages with two new       sandwiches starting March 3, <strong><em>MarketWatch</em></strong> reported. “Our customers need to know that we are listening to them by making Starbucks an affordable everyday option,” Michelle Gass, executive vice president of marketing, said in a release.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li>Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez said his       country’s economy <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601086&amp;sid=a62UQnk_knSk&amp;refer=latin_america">hasn’t       been touched by the global economic crisis</a>, despite the country’s second-biggest bank said GDP will expand 0.4% in 2009, down from 4.9% last year. Chavez is campaigning to amend the constitution so that he can seek another presidential term in 2012, <strong><em>Bloomberg </em></strong>reported.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li><a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&amp;sid=aHd1M2bqYfUU&amp;refer=home">Defaults       on prime-jumbo hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages could double</a> in coming       months according to <strong>JP Morgan Chase &amp; Co.</strong> (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:JPM">JPM</a>) analysts. The share of prime-jumbo mortgages at least 60 days late climbed 0.71% to 5.29% in the month covered by January bond reports.  Losses on so-called hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages backing 2006 and 2007 prime-jumbo securities will reach 8 to 10%, the analysts told <strong><em>Bloomberg. </em></strong></li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><strong>Satyam  Computer</strong> <strong>Services Ltd.</strong> (ADR: <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:SAY">SAY</a>) will  decide on a long-term action plan by next week, <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/innovationNews/idUSTRE5182NE20090209">including  a possible sale of the company</a>, its chairman said, as the fraud-marred outsourcer struggles for survival.  Satyam was hit by massive fraud in India’s biggest corporate scandal as it disclosed that profits had been overstated for years.  Its founder and former chairman Ramalinga Raju resigned last month, <strong><em>Reuters </em></strong>reported.</li>
</ul>
<p>Source: <a class="titleref" rel="bookmark" href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2009/02/10/global-investment-news-briefs-13/">Global Investment News Briefs <small>Tuesday, February 10th, 2009</small></a></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		</item>
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		<title>Homebuilders Still Ripe To Short In 2009</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/homebuilders-still-ripe-to-short-in-2009/8823</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/homebuilders-still-ripe-to-short-in-2009/8823#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 20 Nov 2008 19:30:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Don Miller</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Top Story]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chrysler Corp.]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Citigroup Inc]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Deutsche Post Ag]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DHI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Don Miller]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Homebuilders]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[House Prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[house values]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IHS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Investing in REITs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ITB]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MCO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MHP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PHM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Realtytrac Inc]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Reits]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RYL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TOL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US Foreclosures]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US housing crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WHR]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[YHOO]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=8823</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Expect more pain in the housing market next year, says <strong>Don Miller</strong>. Rising unemployment will keep the foreclosures coming. And as the backlog of inventories swells, Don says homebuilders still look ripe for shorting in this environment.</p>
<p>This from <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Money Morning</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>The U.S. housing market is already being pounded by the “perfect storm.” And the outlook for the New Year is for the stormy weather to continue – and probably to get worse.</p>
<p>As if a locked-up credit market and tidal waves of foreclosures weren’t already enough, we’re now watching unemployment climb and consumer confidence plunge.</p>
<p>But even when the housing market is taking on water, there <em>are </em>ways to stay afloat. Indeed,  investors nimble enough to maneuver can even <em>make</em> money.</p>
<p>The watchword on this&#8230;</p></blockquote>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Expect more pain in the housing market next year, says <strong>Don Miller</strong>. Rising unemployment will keep the foreclosures coming. And as the backlog of inventories swells, Don says homebuilders still look ripe for shorting in this environment.<span id="more-8823"></span></p>
<p>This from <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Money Morning</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>The U.S. housing market is already being pounded by the “perfect storm.” And the outlook for the New Year is for the stormy weather to continue – and probably to get worse.</p>
<p>As if a locked-up credit market and tidal waves of foreclosures weren’t already enough, we’re now watching unemployment climb and consumer confidence plunge.</p>
<p>But even when the housing market is taking on water, there <em>are </em>ways to stay afloat. Indeed,  investors nimble enough to maneuver can even <em>make</em> money.</p>
<p>The watchword on this market, though, is <em>caution</em>.  If an investor decides to test the waters, beware of the  extraordinary financial undertow.</p>
<p>Here’s a look at what’s happening now, and what the  implications there are for investors in the New Year.</p>
<h3>Rising Unemployment Feeds into Sinking Demand</h3>
<p>The grim reality is that skyrocketing unemployment is a major threat to the recovery of the U.S. housing market.  And consumers shackled with record levels of debt are unlikely to ride to the rescue this time.</p>
<p>Since this  recession is expected to be long and deep, economists<strong> </strong>are projecting high rates of unemployment<strong>.</strong> And the latest statistics released by the U.S. Labor Department show the crucial jobs market deteriorating at an alarmingly rapid pace.</p>
<p>The  U.S. unemployment rate <a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/081107/economy.html_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/081107/economy.html" target="_blank">jumped  to a 14-year high of 6.5% in October as another 240,000 jobs were cut</a> – an uptick from 6.1% in September and the 10th month in a row the jobless rate has risen. Most forecasts are calling for unemployment to spike as high as 8.5%, which would be the worst showing since 1980.</p>
<p>So far this year, a staggering 1.2 million jobs have disappeared. More than half the decrease occurred in the past three months alone, <strong><em>Money Morning</em></strong> reported in its “<a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/11/10/recession/_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/11/10/recession/" target="_blank">Outlook  2009</a>” series economic forecast story. Even worse: A year ago, job cuts were concentrated in the financial-services and homebuilding sectors. Now they’re rising across the board; virtually every part of the economy is feeling the squeeze.</p>
<p>For  instance:</p>
<ul type="disc">
<li>U.S.       automaker <a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=4090940_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=4090940" target="_blank">Chrysler       Corp</a>., one of Detroit’s wheezing “Big Three,” is laying off 25% of its       white-collar work force of 18,500.</li>
<li>Appliance maker <strong>Whirlpool Corp. (<a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AWHR_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AWHR" target="_blank">WHR</a>) </strong><strong>recently announced </strong>it would cut 5,000 jobs to cope with declining       sales.</li>
<li>Worldwide shipping giant DHL, a subsidiary of <a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://finance.google.com/finance?q=FRA%3ADPW_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=FRA%3ADPW" target="_blank">Deutsche Post AG</a><strong>, </strong>is laying off 9,500 people, and       threatening to close its U.S. distribution center.</li>
<li>Onetime       Internet search giant Yahoo! Inc. (<a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ%3AYHOO_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ%3AYHOO" target="_blank">YHOO</a>) plans       to let 1,100 workers go – on top of the 1,000 already jettisoned in       January – the result of <a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/11/07/yahoo-google-deal/_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/11/07/yahoo-google-deal/" target="_blank">several       botched merger attempts</a>.</li>
<li>Ailing       banking giant Citigroup Inc. (<a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AC_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AC" target="_blank">C</a>)       heaped more bad news on the financial sector, announcing whopping 50,000       layoffs in the next 12 months.</li>
</ul>
<p>Layoffs of this magnitude are more than a mere shot across the bow of the housing market – they’re actually a direct hit amid ship. People who are unemployed cannot buy homes. Period. But even consumers who are afraid that they might be joining the jobless ranks are loath to take on the added risk – making them unlikely candidates to buy a new home.</p>
<h3>Foreclosures Still Rising</h3>
<p>As unemployment climbs, foreclosures will continue to multiply. That only exacerbates an already unappealing combination – more houses being dumped onto the market even as the pool of potential buyers grows increasingly smaller.</p>
<p><a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://www.realtytrac.com/home.asp?a=b&amp;accnt=64847_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://www.realtytrac.com/home.asp?a=b&amp;accnt=64847" target="_blank">RealtyTrac Inc.</a> reported that more than 81,000 homes were foreclosed on in September – 71% increase from the same period just a year ago. For 2008, foreclosures rose to a record 765,558.</p>
<p>“I wouldn’t be surprised to see foreclosures increase as the economy slows down,” said Rick Sharga, RealtyTrac’s vice president of marketing. “The people living paycheck to paycheck are at risk if they lose their jobs. It will cause more people to lose their homes.”</p>
<p>And while foreclosure volumes are outpacing projections, the cumulative losses by banks on bad mortgages may have yet to hit their books.  Since loan losses don’t get recorded until the property is sold, it’s likely there’s a lot of bank-owned inventory that hasn’t been unloaded – meaning there may be more foreclosures out there investors don’t yet know about.</p>
<p>“We  are in uncharted waters,” said Brian Bethune, an economist at research firm <a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://www.globalinsight.com/About/_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://www.globalinsight.com/About/" target="_blank">Global  Insight</a> (<a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:IHS_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:IHS" target="_blank">IHS</a>).</p>
<p>Making the waters even rougher  was the decision by <a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=4907797_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=4907797" target="_blank">Standard  &amp; Poor’s Inc</a>. (<a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AMHP_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AMHP" target="_blank">MHP</a>)  to cut the ratings on $34.1 billion of “<a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alt-A_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alt-A" target="_blank">Alt-A” residential loan packages</a> that had been issued in 2006 and 2007.  Alt-A mortgages are those written with little or no documentation, i.e., without proof of income or assets. Even worse, S&amp;P put an additional $351.7 billion of Alt-A securities up for possible review reflecting the rating company’s “belief that further declines in home sales will depress prices further and push loss severities higher than we had previously assumed.”<strong></strong></p>
<p>On top of all that, record numbers of borrowers are already  “<a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://www.wisegeek.com/what-is-an-underwater-mortgage.htm_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://www.wisegeek.com/what-is-an-underwater-mortgage.htm" target="_blank">underwater</a>,” or “upside down” on their mortgages, making it more attractive for them to default by simply walking away, than to hang around and drown.</p>
<p>About 18% of homes nationwide are now “upside down,”  according to a report from <a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://www.facorelogic.com/_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://www.facorelogic.com/" target="_blank">First American  CoreLogic</a>.  Almost two-thirds of those homes are in just seven states: Arizona, California, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada and Ohio. In Mountain House, Calif., an unincorporated planned housing community located in the foothills of the Diablo mountain range, the housing crisis right now <a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/11/business/11home.html?_r=2&amp;hp&amp;oref=slogin_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/11/business/11home.html?_r=2&amp;hp&amp;oref=slogin" target="_blank">has  nearly 90% of the homeowners owing more on their houses than they are worth</a> – the highest percentage in the country, <strong><em>The New York Times</em></strong> reported on Nov. 10. The average  homeowner is underwater by $122,000, the newspaper said.</p>
<p>Other areas are suffering almost as much: In Nevada, alone,  borrowers owed a whopping 89% of the value of their homes.</p>
<p>Despite such dramatic anecdotes, this housing slump is nationwide in nature. It’s more severe than any other such downturn since World War II, mostly because of the risky lending practices that inflated the <a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_housing_bubble_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_housing_bubble" target="_blank">real-estate  bubble</a> in the first place.</p>
<h3>The Downdraft in Housing Prices</h3>
<p>Meanwhile, while unemployment  rises, the downward spiral in housing prices is gaining momentum.</p>
<p>“The No.1 thing that drives housing values is incomes,” said  Todd Sinai, an associate professor of real estate at the <a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://www.wharton.upenn.edu/_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://www.wharton.upenn.edu/" target="_blank">Wharton  School</a> at the University of Pennsylvania. “When incomes fall, demand for  housing falls.”</p>
<p>The <a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://www2.standardandpoors.com/portal/site/sp/en/us/page.topic/indices_csmahp/2,3,4,0,0,0,0,0,0_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://www2.standardandpoors.com/portal/site/sp/en/us/page.topic/indices_csmahp/2,3,4,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.html" target="_blank">S&amp;P/Case-Shiller  Index</a> of home prices plunged 16.6% in August from the year before, following a 16.3% drop in July. The index has fallen every month since January 2007 (See accompanying chart, “Plummeting Prices.”).</p>
<p>Prices were lower in all 20 of the major cities the index covers,  with Phoenix and Las Vegas down nearly 31% from last year.</p>
<p>Nationwide home prices have fallen 20.3% since peaking in  June 2006.</p>
<p>And the skid isn’t over.</p>
<p><strong>According  to <a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=15408600_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=15408600" target="_blank">Fitch Ratings Inc</a>.,</strong> U.S. home prices will fall another 8% to 10% before they show signs of stabilizing.  According to a Fitch forecast, the peak-to-trough price decline will be 30%.<br />
And still one other reliable indicator of housing prices seems to confirm that, in many cities, home prices still have further to fall.</p>
<p>According to analysis by Moody’s Investors Service (<a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://finance.google.com/finance?q=mco_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=mco" target="_blank">MCO</a>), Miami houses are right now priced at about 22 times annual rental income – versus an average of just 15 over the past two decades. This suggests that a home currently priced at $350,000 is actually worth only $238,600 – meaning the price would have to drop 32% to reach the fair-value point.</p>
<h3>Congressional Missteps</h3>
<p>In an effort to help more than 400,000 homeowners avoid  foreclosure, Congress came up with the <strong>“Hope  for Homeowners”</strong> program.   Unfortunately, in their infinite wisdom, federal lawmakers designed a  program that is almost certain to fail.</p>
<p>The program supposedly makes as much as $300 billion available to at-risk borrowers, enabling them to refinance into a 30-year, fixed-rate loan insured by the <a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://portal.hud.gov/portal/page?_pageid=73,1&amp;_dad=portal&amp;_schema=PORTAL_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://portal.hud.gov/portal/page?_pageid=73,1&amp;_dad=portal&amp;_schema=PORTAL" target="_blank">Federal  Housing Administration</a> (FHA).</p>
<p>The biggest mistake Congress made was to make this program strictly voluntary for participating banks,  experts say<em>.</em></p>
<p>Just as bad: In an effort to make the program more affordable for beleaguered homeowners, it also requires the lenders to write the value of the home down to 90% of its current market value. So in a downtrodden market like Phoenix, if a lender holds a $400,000 mortgage on a home currently appraised at $300,000, the bank would have to settle for a new mortgage worth only $270,000.</p>
<p>Needless to say, the response has been underwhelming.  After four weeks, a whopping 79 people had  applied for the program.</p>
<p>Not to be deterred, the <a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://www.google.com/search?q=Federal+Deposit+Insurance+Corp._1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://www.google.com/search?q=Federal+Deposit+Insurance+Corp." target="_blank">Federal  Deposit Insurance Corp.</a> (FDIC) <a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/11/12/anti-foreclosure-program/_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/11/12/anti-foreclosure-program/" target="_blank">is  proposing another package</a>, which would extend the terms of at-risk loans from 30 years to 40 years, with interest rates as low as 3.0%.  Housing payments for delinquent borrowers could not exceed 38% of gross monthly income.</p>
<p>In order to sweeten the pot for lenders, the government would share as much as 50% of the losses if a borrower ended up in default anyway.  In addition, the FDIC would pay servicers who process these new mortgages a fee of $1,000 for each re-worked loan.</p>
<p>FDIC officials estimate that this anti-foreclosure program would cost $24.4 billion, and would prevent 1.5 million of the 2.2 million at-risk homes from falling into foreclosure.</p>
<p>But that also  means the taxpayer will be on the hook for half the value of 700,000 mortgages  that do fail.</p>
<p>Can you say  “fuzzy math?”</p>
<h3>Homebuilders on the Ropes</h3>
<p>You can probably  guess where this leaves the nation’s homebuilders – gasping for air.</p>
<p>D.R. Horton Inc. (<a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://finance.google.com/finance?q=dhi_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=dhi" target="_blank">DHI</a>), one of the nation’s biggest homebuilders, just wrote down $1.1 billion in land, deposits and inventory in the third quarter, as sales fell by half. The Ft. Worth, Tex.-based company <a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://www.pr-inside.com/d-r-horton-inc-america-s-builder-reports-r903114.htm_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://www.pr-inside.com/d-r-horton-inc-america-s-builder-reports-r903114.htm" target="_blank">expects  to post a fourth-quarter net loss of between $800 million and $900 million</a>,  18 times more than it lost in the fourth quarter a year ago.</p>
<p>Other builders are in similar  shape. Pulte Homes Inc. (<a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://finance.google.com/finance?q=phm_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=phm" target="_blank">PHM</a>) and The Ryland Group Inc. (<a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://finance.google.com/finance?q=ryl_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=ryl" target="_blank">RYL</a>) just reported quarterly losses  of $280.4 million and $65.7 million,  respectively.</p>
<p>Even <strong>Toll Bros. Inc.</strong><strong> (<a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://finance.google.com/finance?q=tol_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=tol" target="_blank">TOL</a>),</strong> which caters to the high-end buyer, said fourth-quarter revenue fell 41% from the same  period last year.</p>
<h3>The Forecast for 2009: More Pain Before Any Gain</h3>
<p>No matter what happens in the U.S. housing market, until a large inventory reduction takes place, housing prices will not stabilize. <strong> </strong></p>
<p>In a recent <strong><em>Forbes</em></strong> magazine column, A. Gary  Shilling, president of an economic consulting firm of the same name, said <a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://www.forbes.com/intelligentinvesting/forbes/2008/1110/050.html_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://www.forbes.com/intelligentinvesting/forbes/2008/1110/050.html" target="_blank">the worst is yet to come</a>. Says Schilling: “Excess inventory, the mortal enemy of prices, now amounts to 1.8 million homes, which is a huge number relative to the net demand (new families minus departures due to deaths and moves to nursing homes) which is only 1.5 million a year.”</p>
<p><img src="http://www.moneymorning.com/images2/HomePrices.GIF" alt="" hspace="5" align="left" />And one of the architects of the U.S. housing debacle – former U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan – is also downbeat: “At a minimum, stabilization of home prices is still many months in the future,” Greenspan said in an October speech.</p>
<p>The question that needs to be answered, then, is this: In the current atmosphere, does anyone believe we actually need homebuilders to add even one new home to the market?</p>
<p><a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/now-is-a-good-time-to-short-the-homebuilders-etf-xhb/61_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="../articles/now-is-a-good-time-to-short-the-homebuilders-etf-xhb/6175" target="_blank">Some pundits claim</a> this may be a golden opportunity to short U.S. homebuilders. Even though they’re already down 80% from their highs, the deadly combination of skyrocketing unemployment, deflating prices and tight credit continue to spell further pain for the industry.</p>
<p>Short sellers would obviously look at any of the companies mentioned above. They might also consider iShares US Home Construction (<a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://finance.google.com/finance?q=itb_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=itb" target="_blank">ITB</a>), the prominent exchange traded fund (ETF) for  the group. However, any such move would have to be made with extreme caution.</p>
<p>The reason: All bets are off if the new Barack Obama Administration implements a moratorium on mortgage foreclosures. There’s also the possibility that Obama will be able to shepherd through any one or more of the proposed mortgage guarantee programs now on the table.</p>
<p>Those kinds of  moves could provide a boost to homebuilders and leave <a onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/shortselling.asp_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" href="http://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/shortselling.asp" target="_blank">short sellers</a> in the grips of an uncomfortable squeeze – just like the millions of homeowners saddled with mortgages they can no longer pay.</p></blockquote>
<p>Source: <a class="titleref" onclick="s_objectID=&quot;http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/11/20/housing-outlook-2009/_1&quot;;return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true" rel="bookmark" href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/11/20/housing-outlook-2009/">New Year U.S. Housing Market Forecast: No Gain, More Pain</a></p>
<p><strong><em><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><br />
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		<title>Global Investing Roundups Wednesday, October 29, 2008</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/global-investing-roundups-wednesday-october-29-2008/7361</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/global-investing-roundups-wednesday-october-29-2008/7361#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 14:09:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>William Patalon III</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Consumer Confidence Index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Credit Suisse Group]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DB]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Deutsche Bank Ag]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DHX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GCI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oil Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Opec]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wall Street Banks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Whirlpool Corp]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WHR]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Consumer Confidence at All-Time Low; Home Prices Continue Collapse; OPEC Still Not Satisfied; Whirlpool Circles the Drain; Optimistic Wall Street; Banks Balk on Buyout; Stop the Presses?</p>
<p>* The Conference Board said yesterday (Tuesday) that its consumer confidence index fell to 38 – the lowest level since the Conference Board began tracking consumer sentiment in 1967. The index registered a revised 61.4 in September, which makes this month’s drop the third-steepest drop on record. A year ago, the index stood at 95.2.</p>
<p>* The Standard &#38; Poor’s/Case-Shiller 20-city housing index dropped a record 16.6% from August last year – the largest drop since its inception in 2000, The Associated Press reported. Prices in the 20-city index have plummeted more than 20% since&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Consumer Confidence at All-Time Low; Home Prices Continue Collapse; OPEC Still Not Satisfied; Whirlpool Circles the Drain; Optimistic Wall Street; Banks Balk on Buyout; Stop the Presses?<span id="more-7361"></span></p>
<p>* The Conference Board said yesterday (Tuesday) that its consumer confidence index fell to 38 – the lowest level since the Conference Board began tracking consumer sentiment in 1967. The index registered a revised 61.4 in September, which makes this month’s drop the third-steepest drop on record. A year ago, the index stood at 95.2.</p>
<p>* The Standard &amp; Poor’s/Case-Shiller 20-city housing index dropped a record 16.6% from August last year – the largest drop since its inception in 2000, The Associated Press reported. Prices in the 20-city index have plummeted more than 20% since peaking in July 2006, the group reported. The 10-city index tumbled 17.7% — the biggest decline in its 21-year history.</p>
<p>* The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) said yesterday (Tuesday) that it would continue to prop up the oil market and may call another meeting before the group’s next scheduled conference in December. &#8220;If circumstances dictate we have to have another meeting, we will have a meeting before the Algerian meeting,&#8221; OPEC Secretary General Abdullah al-Badri told Reuters.</p>
<p>* Whirlpool Corp. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=whr">WHR</a>) said yesterday (Tuesday) it will eliminate about 5,000 jobs this year and next, as the U.S. economy continues down its path to recession. The nation’s largest home appliance maker said its earnings fell 7% in the third quarter.</p>
<p>* Despite a market deep in bear territory, Wall Street professionals still expect year-end bonuses. According to a survey by eFinancialCareers, a unit of specialty jobs site operator Dice Holdings Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=DHX">DHX</a>), 67% of workers expect a bonus for 2008. But some companies, such as Deutsche Bank AG (DB) have already announced top executives would not receive bonuses for the year, Reuters reported.</p>
<p>* Credit Suisse Group AG (ADR: <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=CS">CS</a>) and Deutsche Bank AG (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ADB">DB</a>) yesterday (Tuesday) both refused to provide financing for the $6.5 billion buyout of Huntsman Corp. (HUN) by a unit of Apollo Global Management LLC. The banks refused to fund the purchase of the chemical company because the combined company could prove insolvent, Bloomberg News reported.</p>
<p>* The 100-year-old Christian Science Monitor said yesterday (Tuesday) that it would stop printing a daily edition next year in order to focus on the Internet – becoming the first nationally distributed newspaper to do so, Bloomberg News reported. And in a related story, national newspaper publisher Gannett Co. Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AGCI">GCI</a>) said it would cut 10% of the workers at its community newspapers – a move that follows a cut of 3%, or 1,000 jobs, back in August. The cuts should be completed by early December and don’t apply to USA Today, Gannett said. Gannett, which publishes 85 daily newspapers, recently reported that third-quarter revenue declined 9%, and said it would re-evaluate its dividend policy.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/10/29/global-investing-roundups-139/">Source: Global Investing Roundups Wednesday, October 29, 2008</a></p>
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		<title>Another 5,000 Heads To Roll At Whirlpool (WHR)</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/another-5000-heads-to-roll-at-whirlpool-whr/7252</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 28 Oct 2008 13:40:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Contrarian Profits</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adam Lass]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Unemployment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US Jobless Rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Whirlpool]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WHR]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[<p><strong>Whirlpool Corp.</strong> (NYSE:<a title="Open a new browser window to find out more" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AWHR" target="_blank">WHR</a>) announced it would cut 5,000 jobs by the end of 2009. America&#8217;s largest home appliance maker also lowered its earnings outlook after a 7% fall in Q3. This from <a title="Open a new browser window to find out more" href="http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/081028/earns_whirlpool.html?.v=1" target="_blank">Associated Press</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Whirlpool said the drop in profit reflects significantly higher material and oil-related costs and lower industry demand. U.S. industry unit shipments of major appliances declined 11 percent in the quarter.</p>
<p>Whirlpool said it now expects a profit of $5.75 to $6 per share for 2008, compared with its previous estimate of $7 to $7.50 per share.</p>
<p>Based upon its revised earnings expectations and the glum industry outlook, the company said it now expects to generate free cash flow of $50 million or less for the full year, well down from&#8230;</p></blockquote>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Whirlpool Corp.</strong> (NYSE:<a title="Open a new browser window to find out more" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AWHR" target="_blank">WHR</a>) announced it would cut 5,000 jobs by the end of 2009. America&#8217;s largest home appliance maker also lowered its earnings outlook after a 7% fall in Q3. This from <a title="Open a new browser window to find out more" href="http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/081028/earns_whirlpool.html?.v=1" target="_blank">Associated Press</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Whirlpool said the drop in profit reflects significantly higher material and oil-related costs and lower industry demand. U.S. industry unit shipments of major appliances declined 11 percent in the quarter.</p>
<p>Whirlpool said it now expects a profit of $5.75 to $6 per share for 2008, compared with its previous estimate of $7 to $7.50 per share.</p>
<p>Based upon its revised earnings expectations and the glum industry outlook, the company said it now expects to generate free cash flow of $50 million or less for the full year, well down from its previous estimate of $500 to $550 million.</p>
<p>Because of this and the economic conditions, the company has suspended its $500 million share-repurchase program announced in April.</p>
<p>The job cuts include positions being eliminated from plant closings that the company already announced this year along with new reductions taking place now and through the end of next year. Whirlpool, whose brands include Maytag, KitchenAid and Jenn-Air, said it has 73,000 employees worldwide.</p></blockquote>
<p>PS. Early in September, <a href="http://www.taipanpublishing.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title="Taipan Publishing"  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Taipan</a> Daily&#8217;s <strong>Adam Lass</strong> recommend <a title="Open a new browser window to find out more" href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/short-whirlpool-whr-for-minimum-30-return/5338" target="_blank">shorting Whirlpool for a minimum 30% return.</a> Since then, the stock has been cut in half.</p>
<p>Read more about Adam&#8217;s stock recommendations <a title="Read more" href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/author/adam-lass" target="_self">here</a>.</p>
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		<title>These 4 Stocks Will Suffer as Spending Dives</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/these-4-stocks-will-suffer-as-spending-dives/5891</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/these-4-stocks-will-suffer-as-spending-dives/5891#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 Oct 2008 15:03:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Adam Lass</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adam Lass]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CPI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[deflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[KSS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PPI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SHLD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Us Inflation Rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US Jobless Rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WHR]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[<p><font size="2"></font><font face="Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif"><a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/us-consumer-spending-flat-august/story.aspx?guid={4B5BCBD7-F9BB-4591-BF69-84949254608E}&#38;dist=hplatest" title="Open a new browser window to find out more" target="_blank">Consumer spending</a> was flat in the US in August.</font> <strong>Adam Lass </strong>says this zero means more than the much-hyped $700 billion figure currently grabbing the headlines.</p>
<p>The bottom line is consumers are running scared, and that is bad news for retailers and manufacturers.</p>
<p>Adam says <font size="2" face="Arial"><strong>Whirlpool </strong>(</font><font size="2" face="Arial">NYSE</font><font size="2" face="Arial">:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AWHR" target="_blank">WHR</a>)<strong> </strong></font><font size="2" face="Arial">and<strong> Sherwin-Williams</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ASHW">SHW</a>) are in for a particularly rough ride.</font> Even &#8217;safe&#8217; stocks such as <font size="2" face="Arial"><strong>Sears </strong>(NASDAQ:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ%3ASHLD" target="_blank">SHLD</a>) or <strong>Kohl’s </strong>(NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AKSS" target="_blank">KSS</a>)<strong> </strong>could seriously hurt your portfolio </font><font size="2" face="Arial">in the coming months.</font></p>
<blockquote><p><font size="2" face="Arial">Still, if you dig a little below the facile headlines, you’d learn that the bailout may be sucking up all the air in the room, but that trillion dollars is NOT really this week’s big story. That is reserved for a lowly zero. </font></p>
<p><font size="2" face="Arial">Because zero is the change in consumer spending from July to&#8230;</font></p></blockquote>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><font size="2"><font face="Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif"><a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/us-consumer-spending-flat-august/story.aspx?guid={4B5BCBD7-F9BB-4591-BF69-84949254608E}&amp;dist=hplatest" title="Open a new browser window to find out more" target="_blank">Consumer spending</a> was flat in the US in August.</font></font> <strong>Adam Lass </strong>says this zero means more than the much-hyped $700 billion figure currently grabbing the headlines.</p>
<p>The bottom line is consumers are running scared, and that is bad news for retailers and manufacturers.</p>
<p>Adam says <font size="2" face="Arial"><strong>Whirlpool </strong>(</font><font size="2" face="Arial">NYSE</font><font size="2" face="Arial">:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AWHR" target="_blank">WHR</a>)<strong> </strong></font><font size="2" face="Arial">and<strong> Sherwin-Williams</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ASHW">SHW</a>) are in for a particularly rough ride.</font> Even &#8217;safe&#8217; stocks such as <font size="2" face="Arial"><strong>Sears </strong>(NASDAQ:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ%3ASHLD" target="_blank">SHLD</a>) or <strong>Kohl’s </strong>(NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AKSS" target="_blank">KSS</a>)<strong> </strong>could seriously hurt your portfolio </font><font size="2" face="Arial">in the coming months.</font><span id="more-5891"></span></p>
<blockquote><p><font size="2" face="Arial">Still, if you dig a little below the facile headlines, you’d learn that the bailout may be sucking up all the air in the room, but that trillion dollars is NOT really this week’s big story. That is reserved for a lowly zero. </font></p>
<p><font size="2" face="Arial">Because zero is the change in consumer spending from July to August.</font></p>
<p><font size="2" face="Arial">The bright guys over at the Commerce Department were kind of hoping that spending would go up about 0.2%. That’s not much, but it would at least have been double the increase between June and July. </font></p>
<p><font size="2" face="Arial"><a href="http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2008/02/20080213-5.html" target="_blank">The Economic Stimulus Act of 2008</a> (remember that?) was supposed to have one of those multiplied effects wherein Joe buys from Fred, who in turn hires Mike, who takes Sadie out to dinner etc., etc. </font></p>
<p><font size="2" face="Arial">Instead, there was no gain whatsoever, demonstrating quite clearly that dumping $152 billion into a system already overburdened with excess dollars wasn’t quite the cure Washington thought it might be.</font></p>
<p><font size="2" face="Arial">Here’s another “small” figure that dwarfs that trillion-dollar package Congress is screwing around with: Excluding “volatile food and fuel” (snicker), prices increased 0.2% July to August, and 2.6% between August 2007 and August 2008. The latter is the largest spike since January 1995.</font></p>
<p><font size="2" face="Arial">Run these “ tiny fractions” all the way through the system, and American disposable income fell 0.8% in July and 0.9% in August. To paraphrase Ross Perot, that loud snapping sound you hear is millions of pocketbooks, wallets and checkbooks snapping closed.</font></p>
<p><font size="2" face="Arial">And it’s not going to get any better anytime soon. According to the latest Bloomberg economist survey, the last quarter of 2008 should be the worst in almost 20 years. </font></p>
<p><font size="2" face="Arial">In a nutshell, all this horse hockey going on in Washington this week isn’t touching the underlying economic problems we are facing. In fact, if anything, it is only making them worse. And it’s scaring consumers to death.</font></p>
<p><font size="2" face="Arial">My advice? Forget about anyone who makes washing machines… I am thinking <strong>Whirlpool (</strong></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><strong>NYSE</strong></font><font size="2" face="Arial"><strong>:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AWHR" target="_blank">WHR</a>)</strong> here. I am not a big fan of anyone who makes house paint either. Here’s a hint: Run &#8212; don’t walk &#8212; away from a big coatings manufacturer like <strong>Sherwin-Williams (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ASHW">SHW</a>)</strong>.</font></p>
<p><font size="2" face="Arial">And I know that some folks are still warm to certain outfits like <strong>Sears (NASDAQ:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ%3ASHLD" target="_blank">SHLD</a>)</strong> or <strong>Kohl’s (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AKSS" target="_blank">KSS</a>)</strong> that sell washing machines and house paint, and sweaters and khakis, too, for that matter. </font></p>
<p><font size="2" face="Arial">Maybe they are right. Heck, if you are buying for the next decade looking for $300, you won’t care if you bought for $100 or $50. </font></p>
<p><font size="2" face="Arial">But right now, that sort of drop looks like a 50% loss to me.</font></p>
<p><font size="2" face="Arial">And this week, -50% trumps a trillion easy.</font></p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://www.taipanpublishinggroup.com/Taipan-Daily-100208.html">Source: Zero Growth Trumps Washington&#8217;s Trillion Dollars </a></p>
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		<title>Short Whirlpool (WHR) for Minimum 30% Return</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/short-whirlpool-whr-for-minimum-30-return/5338</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/short-whirlpool-whr-for-minimum-30-return/5338#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Sep 2008 19:47:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Adam Lass</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adam Lass]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[HD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[LEN]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US Foreclosures]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US housing crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WHR]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/short-whirlpool-whr-for-minimum-30-return/5338</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>As the housing market slumps it should take anything related to building or furnishing with it.</p>
<p>However, the stock of home appliance <font style="font-size: 14px" face="Arial">maker <strong>Whirlpool  </strong>(NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=Whirlpool" target="_blank">WHR</a>)</font><font face="Arial"> has risen 6.4% in the year to date despite razor thin margins and a wider downturn. </font></p>
<p><font face="Arial"> Wave Strength Options Weekly editor <strong>Adam Lass </strong>says this is a great opportunity to make at least 30% with a simple short play. </font></p>
<p><font face="Arial">Buying strategic put options could increase these gains up to 118%.</font></p>
<p>More from Adam in today&#8217;s <a href="http://www.taipanpublishing.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title="Taipan Publishing"  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Taipan</a> Publishing:</p>
<blockquote>
<blockquote><p><font style="font-size: 14px" face="Arial">My partner Bryan  Bottarelli’s analysis of </font><font style="font-size: 14px" face="Arial"><strong>Whirlpool</strong></font><font style="font-size: 14px" face="Arial">makes perfect sense: </font></p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p><font style="font-size: 14px" face="Arial"><em>When I look at <strong>Whirlpool’s  </strong>business model, I see a company with a $6.64 billion market cap,  trading at a P/E ratio of 12.19, while making a razor-thin profit margin of  2.89%. </em></font></p>
<p><font style="font-size: 14px" face="Arial"><em>In strong&#8230;</em></font></p></blockquote></blockquote>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As the housing market slumps it should take anything related to building or furnishing with it.</p>
<p>However, the stock of home appliance <font style="font-size: 14px" face="Arial">maker <strong>Whirlpool  </strong>(NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=Whirlpool" target="_blank">WHR</a>)</font><font face="Arial"> has risen 6.4% in the year to date despite razor thin margins and a wider downturn. </font></p>
<p><font face="Arial"> Wave Strength Options Weekly editor <strong>Adam Lass </strong>says this is a great opportunity to make at least 30% with a simple short play. </font></p>
<p><font face="Arial">Buying strategic put options could increase these gains up to 118%.</font><span id="more-5338"></span></p>
<p>More from Adam in today&#8217;s <a href="http://www.taipanpublishing.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title="Taipan Publishing"  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Taipan</a> Publishing:</p>
<blockquote>
<blockquote><p><font style="font-size: 14px" face="Arial">My partner Bryan  Bottarelli’s analysis of </font><font style="font-size: 14px" face="Arial"><strong>Whirlpool</strong></font><font style="font-size: 14px" face="Arial">makes perfect sense: </font></p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p><font style="font-size: 14px" face="Arial"><em>When I look at <strong>Whirlpool’s  </strong>business model, I see a company with a $6.64 billion market cap,  trading at a P/E ratio of 12.19, while making a razor-thin profit margin of  2.89%. </em></font></p>
<p><font style="font-size: 14px" face="Arial"><em>In strong economic times, making 2.89% on a high-ticket  item like appliances makes you a lot of money. But in the heart of a market  recession (like we have right now), I can’t see a company like WHR being able  to maintain any upside momentum. </em></font></p>
<p><font style="font-size: 14px" face="Arial"><em>After all, millions of unsold U.S. homes are currently  sitting on the market with brand-new WHR appliances. I would think that the  market needs to work through this inventory before WHR can think of receiving a  substantial amount of new sales. And therefore, the forward outlook, to my eye,  is very weak.</em></font></p></blockquote>
<p><font style="font-size: 14px" face="Arial">Now WHR stock is a bit of an oddity right now. Most everyone  else connected with the housing and home wares biz have been well and truly  stomped on. </font></p>
<p><font style="font-size: 14px" face="Arial">You wouldn’t expect a builder like <strong>Lennar </strong>(NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=Lennar&amp;hl=en" target="_blank">LEN</a>) to be up, and indeed it is not. You wouldn’t advise a friend to buy shares of a  joint that sells nails and furnishings like <strong>Home Depot </strong>(NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=Home+Depot&amp;hl=en" target="_blank">HD</a>)<strong>.</strong></font></p>
<p><font style="font-size: 14px" face="Arial">But WHR is still vainly trying to hold on to its 2008 highs.  My Wave Strength Options  Weekly charts tell us that even a simple short play ought to be good for  some 30% gains over the next few months. </font></p>
<p><font style="font-size: 14px" face="Arial">However, the puts that Bryan and I  recommended to <em>WOW </em>readers stand to  gain as much as 118% off that same 30% drop.</font></p>
<p><font style="font-size: 14px" face="Arial">Certainly something to cheer you up as you fold the wash,  eh?</font></p></blockquote>
<p>Source: <a href="http://www.taipanpublishinggroup.com/Taipan-Daily-091108.html">Can Long Lines, Broken Machines and a Botched   Election Sell Dishwashers? </a></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Global Investing Roundups Friday, July 11th, 2008</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/global-investing-roundups-friday-july-11th-2008/3707</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/global-investing-roundups-friday-july-11th-2008/3707#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jul 2008 14:24:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>William Patalon III</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[International Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BJ]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[COST]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Crude Oil Prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GE]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US jobless rates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WB]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WHR]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[William Patalon III]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WMT]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/global-investing-roundups-friday-july-11th-2008/3707</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Retailers Report 4.3% Bump in Sales; Toyota Changes Direction; Whirlpool Closes Two Factories; Brazil and Vietnam Come Together; GE Spin-Off; New Wachovia CEO; IAM Wants Fair Bidding; Oil Jumps Over $5 on Political Tension</p>
<ul type="disc">
<li>Retailers reported a 4.3% increase in sales in June gain as rebate checks again bolstered consumer spending. Wal-Mart Stores Inc (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=wmt&#38;hl=en" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="wmt&#38;hl=en_1" target="_blank">WMT</a>), <strong>BJ’s       Wholesale Club Inc.</strong> (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ABJ" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="NYSE%3ABJ_1" target="_blank">BJ</a>) and <strong>Costco       Wholesale Corp.</strong> (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ%3ACOST" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="NASDAQ%3ACOST_1" target="_blank">COST</a>) were       also among the best performers.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li><strong>Toyota       Motor Corp.</strong> (ADR: <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=tm&#38;hl=en" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="tm&#38;hl=en_1" target="_blank">TM</a>) will start producing the hybrid Prius in the United States for the first time as the Japanese automaker adjusts its manufacturing operations to meet demand for smaller, more fuel-efficient vehicles, the <strong><em>Associated Press</em></strong> reported. <a href="http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080710/toyota_manufacturing.html" onclick="s_objectID=" target="_blank">The company said Thursday it will start producing the Prius in late 2010 at a plant&#8230;</a></li></ul>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Retailers Report 4.3% Bump in Sales; Toyota Changes Direction; Whirlpool Closes Two Factories; Brazil and Vietnam Come Together; GE Spin-Off; New Wachovia CEO; IAM Wants Fair Bidding; Oil Jumps Over $5 on Political Tension<span id="more-3707"></span></p>
<ul type="disc">
<li>Retailers reported a 4.3% increase in sales in June gain as rebate checks again bolstered consumer spending. Wal-Mart Stores Inc (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=wmt&amp;hl=en" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="wmt&amp;hl=en_1" target="_blank">WMT</a>), <strong>BJ’s       Wholesale Club Inc.</strong> (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ABJ" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="NYSE%3ABJ_1" target="_blank">BJ</a>) and <strong>Costco       Wholesale Corp.</strong> (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ%3ACOST" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="NASDAQ%3ACOST_1" target="_blank">COST</a>) were       also among the best performers.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li><strong>Toyota       Motor Corp.</strong> (ADR: <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=tm&amp;hl=en" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="tm&amp;hl=en_1" target="_blank">TM</a>) will start producing the hybrid Prius in the United States for the first time as the Japanese automaker adjusts its manufacturing operations to meet demand for smaller, more fuel-efficient vehicles, the <strong><em>Associated Press</em></strong> reported. <a href="http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080710/toyota_manufacturing.html" onclick="s_objectID=" target="_blank">The company said Thursday it will start producing the Prius in late 2010 at a plant it is building in Blue Springs, Miss</a>.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li>Appliance       maker <strong>Whirlpool Corp.</strong> (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AWHR" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="NYSE%3AWHR_1" target="_blank">WHR</a>) said       yesterday (Thursday) that it will <a href="http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080710/whirlpool_plant_closures.html?.v=2" onclick="s_objectID=" whirlpool_plant_closures.html?.v="2_1" target="_blank">close       two plants in an effort to streamline manufacturing</a>, the <strong><em>Associated       Press</em></strong> reported. Approximately 1,250 jobs will be lost as a result       of the closings.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li>Brazilian president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva visited Vietnam yesterday (Thursday) to enhance trade relations between the two nations.  &#8220;<a href="http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080710/vietnam_brazil_president_s_visit.html?.v=1" onclick="s_objectID=" vietnam_brazil_president_s_visit.html?.v="1_1" target="_blank">Our       bilateral trade remains too small compared with our capability,</a>&#8221;       Silva said through a translator at a joint news conference with his       Vietnamese counterpart, Nguyen Minh Triet.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li><strong>General       Electric Co.</strong> (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=ge" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="ge_1" target="_blank">GE</a>)       announced yesterday (Thursday) that <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&amp;sid=aHfoNm5A3Xy8&amp;refer=home" onclick="s_objectID=" news?pid="20601087&amp;sid=aHfoNm5A3Xy8&amp;refer=home_1" target="_blank">it       would spin off its GE Consumer &amp; Industrial Group</a> in an effort to       bolster a sagging stock price, <strong><em>Bloomberg News</em></strong> reported. Two       months prior, GE announced it was selling its well-known appliance       division.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><strong>Wachovia Corp.</strong> (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=wb&amp;hl=en&amp;meta=hl%3Den" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="wb&amp;hl=en&amp;meta=hl%3Den_1" target="_blank">WB</a>)  appointed <a href="http://money.cnn.com/news/newsfeeds/articles/djf500/200807101536DOWJONESDJONLINE000831_FORTUNE5.htm" onclick="s_objectID=" target="_blank">Robert  K. Steel as the new chief executive officer for the Charlotte-based commercial  bank</a>. He replaces Kenneth Thompson. Dealing  with problem assets still on the bank’s balance sheet is &#8220;mission No. 1,&#8221; Steel  said, <strong><em>DowJones</em></strong> reported.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>The International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers (IAM) wants Secretary of Defense Robert M. Gates to ensure that <a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/machinists-union-wary-tanker-rebid/story.aspx?guid=%7B455944FC-3762-4DF3-BEF9-E5A828DD44B6%7D&amp;dist=hppr" onclick="s_objectID=" story.aspx?guid="%7B45594_1" target="_blank">the  reopened $35 billion tanker contract bidding for the U.S. Air Force is fair and  even this time around</a>, <strong><em>MarketWatch</em></strong> reported. &#8220;We are calling  for aggressive oversight of the bidding process to make sure [<strong>The Boeing  Co.’s</strong> (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=ba&amp;hl=en&amp;meta=hl%3Den" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="ba&amp;hl=en&amp;meta=hl%3Den_1" target="_blank">BA</a>)] tanker is evaluated on a fair, level playing field,&#8221; said IAM General Vice President Rich Michalski. &#8220;We will not accept, nor should American taxpayers accept a process or an outcome that is only slightly less rigged than the initial round of bidding.&#8221;</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Crude oil for August delivery closed at $141.60 yesterday (Thursday) on the New York Mercantile Exchange after a jump of $5.60 a barrel, which recouped some of the previous days’ losses. &#8220;<a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/crude-jumps-above-141-concerns/story.aspx?guid=%7B90EE1D84-42DE-44DE-9F06-EB1847DEA316%7D&amp;dist=msr_3" onclick="s_objectID=" story.aspx?guid="%7B90EE1D84-_1" target="_blank">This  market, losing $9 in two days, has really been oversold</a>,&#8221; Zachary Oxman,  senior trader at futures brokerage Wisdom Financial, told <strong><em>MarketWatch</em></strong>.  &#8220;Geopolitical pressures mixed with the oversold condition are&#8221; driving up oil  prices.</li>
</ul>
<p><a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/07/11/global-investing-roundups-90/">Source:  Global Investing Roundups Friday, July 11th, 2008</a></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>GE Home Appliance Unit Sale Underscores Again That Corporations and Investors Alike Must Go Global to Succeed</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/ge-home-appliance-unit-sale-underscores-again-that-corporations-and-investors-alike-must-go-global-to-succeed/2612</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/ge-home-appliance-unit-sale-underscores-again-that-corporations-and-investors-alike-must-go-global-to-succeed/2612#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 May 2008 13:41:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>William Patalon III</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock Market Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Appliance Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Appliance Maker]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Citigroup]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CSElectrolux]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ELUXY]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GE]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[General Electric]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Haier Group]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Appliance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[JPM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[LEH]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[LG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lg Electronics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WHR]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/ge-home-appliance-unit-sale-underscores-again-that-corporations-and-investors-alike-must-go-global-to-succeed/2612</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Since we started <strong><em><a href="http://www.moneymorning.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Money Morning</a></em></strong> last year, there’s been one key  theme: The next generation of leading global companies will come from outside  U.S. borders.</p>
<p>If you need proof, just look at the Top Five suitors for General Electric  Co.’s (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=ge&#38;hl=en" onclick="s_objectID="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=ge&#038;hl=en_1";return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true">GE</a>)  century-old home-appliances division. There isn’t a U.S. company on the list.</p>
<p>GE Chief Executive Officer Jeffrey R. Immelt – who last week told analysts the company was &#8220;seriously considering a spin-off&#8221; for the unit – said yesterday (Wednesday) that there were five possible buyers, including:</p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=SEO%3A066570" onclick="s_objectID="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=SEO%3A066570_1";return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true">LG Electronics Inc</a>.,  a South Korean electronics and telecommunications giant <a href="http://www.webwire.com/ViewPressRel.asp?aId=66533" onclick="s_objectID="http://www.webwire.com/ViewPressRel.asp?aId=66533_1";return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true">that’s positioning  itself as a global heavyweight</a>.</li>
<li><a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=2925050" onclick="s_objectID="http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=2925050_1";return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true">Haier Group Co.</a>, a China-based appliance-maker that’s one of  that country’s real corporate success stories.</li>
<li><a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=Controladora+Mabe+SA&#38;hl=en" onclick="s_objectID="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=Controladora+Mabe+SA&#038;hl=en_1";return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true">Controladora  Mabe S.A. de C.V</a>., a successful Mexico-based&#8230;</li></ul>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Since we started <strong><em><a href="http://www.moneymorning.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Money Morning</a></em></strong> last year, there’s been one key  theme: The next generation of leading global companies will come from outside  U.S. borders.<span id="more-2612"></span></p>
<p>If you need proof, just look at the Top Five suitors for General Electric  Co.’s (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=ge&amp;hl=en" onclick="s_objectID="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=ge&#038;hl=en_1";return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true">GE</a>)  century-old home-appliances division. There isn’t a U.S. company on the list.</p>
<p>GE Chief Executive Officer Jeffrey R. Immelt – who last week told analysts the company was &#8220;seriously considering a spin-off&#8221; for the unit – said yesterday (Wednesday) that there were five possible buyers, including:</p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=SEO%3A066570" onclick="s_objectID="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=SEO%3A066570_1";return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true">LG Electronics Inc</a>.,  a South Korean electronics and telecommunications giant <a href="http://www.webwire.com/ViewPressRel.asp?aId=66533" onclick="s_objectID="http://www.webwire.com/ViewPressRel.asp?aId=66533_1";return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true">that’s positioning  itself as a global heavyweight</a>.</li>
<li><a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=2925050" onclick="s_objectID="http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=2925050_1";return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true">Haier Group Co.</a>, a China-based appliance-maker that’s one of  that country’s real corporate success stories.</li>
<li><a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=Controladora+Mabe+SA&amp;hl=en" onclick="s_objectID="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=Controladora+Mabe+SA&#038;hl=en_1";return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true">Controladora  Mabe S.A. de C.V</a>., a successful Mexico-based appliance firm that is partly owned by GE, and that already makes appliances for other brand-name firms – including GE.</li>
<li>Electrolux AB (OTC ADR: <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=OTC:ELUXY" onclick="s_objectID="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=OTC:ELUXY_1";return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true">ELUXY</a>), a Stockholm-based company that parlayed its success  in high-end vacuum cleaners into a broader success in home appliances.</li>
<li><a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=Arcelik+&amp;hl=en&amp;meta=hl%3Den" onclick="s_objectID="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=Arcelik+&#038;hl=en&#038;meta=hl%3Den_1";return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true">Arcelik  Anonim Sirketi</a>, an Istanbul, Turkey-based appliance-maker that does  business throughout the world – including in the United States.</li>
</ul>
<p>It’s only been a week since reports surfaced that GE was looking to sell or spin-off its home-appliance business unit, the latest in an ongoing series of divestitures aimed at unshackling the Corporate America heavyweight from the ebb-and-flow of consumer-focused markets. In that time, however, the unconfirmed rumors have solidified to the point that Immelt yesterday identified specific possible suitors.</p>
<p>&#8220;The players become very obvious,” Immelt said during a breakfast meeting with businessmen in Seoul yesterday. &#8220;It’s Haier in China, LG in Korea, and so on. Of course, LG is one of the leading candidates.&#8221;</p>
<p>Immelt said the sale of the unit will be &#8220;a   long process.&#8221;</p>
<p>GE’s appliances division is the No. 1 provider of refrigerators, ovens and dishwashers for newly-constructed houses in the U.S. market. The unit may draw bids of $3 billion to $8 billion, according to analysts at Citigroup Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AC" onclick="s_objectID="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AC_1";return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true">C</a>) and Goldman Sachs  Group Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=gs&amp;hl=en" onclick="s_objectID="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=gs&#038;hl=en_1";return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true">GS</a>).</p>
<p>For Haier, the acquisition of the GE unit would give the China-based company a household brand name it could use to accelerate its  U.S. expansion. Once named Qingdao Refrigerator Plant, the company is now &#8220;China’s ambassador to appliance stores worldwide,&#8221; according to <a href="http://www.hoovers.com/free/features/index.xhtml?cm_ven=PAID&amp;cm_cat=GGL&amp;cm_pla=HOL&amp;cm_ite=Hoovers" onclick="s_objectID="http://www.hoovers.com/free/features/index.xhtml?cm_ven=PAID&#038;cm_cat=GGL&#038;cm_pla=HOL&#038;cm_ite=Hoovers_1";return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true">Hoover’s</a>,  the well-known business-information provider.</p>
<p>From the brink of bankruptcy, Haier rebounded and remade itself into China’s largest appliance company and a world-renowned brand that sells refrigerators, freezers, mobile phones, computers, air conditioners and more in more than 160 countries worldwide. Since &#8220;pulling itself up by its bootstraps,&#8221; Haier has used joint ventures and other shrewd maneuvers to branch out both geographically and commercially, Hoover’s reports.</p>
<p>For the Seoul-based LG Electronics, the purchase of GE’s  appliance business would <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&amp;sid=aKYqdCoR.Dl8&amp;refer=home" onclick="s_objectID="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&#038;sid=aKYqdCoR.Dl8&#038;refer=home_1";return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true">allow  the Korean firm to challenge U.S. heavyweight Whirlpool Corp.’s</a> (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AWHR" onclick="s_objectID="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AWHR_1";return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true">WHR</a>) global lead in  the production of appliances, <strong><em>Bloomberg News</em></strong> reported.</p>
<p>According to published reports by <strong><em>Bloomberg</em></strong> and others, LG hasn’t decided whether to bid for the GE unit, the company said yesterday in response to a query by Korea’s stock exchange.<br />
LG is &#8220;carefully monitoring&#8221; the sale of GE’s appliances division, Chief Executive Officer Nam Yong said. Zhao Rui, a spokeswoman at Haier, declined to comment, <strong><em>Bloomberg</em></strong> said.<br />
James Kim, an analyst at Lehman  Brothers Holdings Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=leh&amp;hl=en" onclick="s_objectID="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=leh&#038;hl=en_1";return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true">LEH</a>), wrote in an investment note that speculation that LG will bid for GE &#8220;has been overdone, without any concrete developments … according to our channel checks, GE and LG Electronics have not talked about this potential acquisition.&#8221;</p>
<p>However, Castor Pang, an analyst at <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=Sun+Hung+Kai+Securities+&amp;hl=en&amp;meta=hl%3Den" onclick="s_objectID="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=Sun+Hung+Kai+Securities+&#038;hl=en&#038;meta=hl%3Den_1";return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true">Sun  Hung Kai Securities</a> in Hong Kong, told <strong><em>Bloomberg</em></strong> that &#8220;both LG and Haier need [the] GE [business unit in order] to break into the U.S. market because [GE] has a very strong brand. Buying GE would be a big advertisement for them. After all, the U.S. market is still a very big market.&#8221;</p>
<p>GE’s appliances business had a U.S. market share of 27% in 2006, the most  recent figures available, JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=jpm&amp;hl=en&amp;meta=hl%3Den" onclick="s_objectID="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=jpm&#038;hl=en&#038;meta=hl%3Den_1";return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true">JPM</a>)  analysts estimate. The unit had revenue of $7.2 billion in 2007, according to  Credit Suisse Group (ADR: <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=cs&amp;hl=en&amp;meta=hl%3Den" onclick="s_objectID="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=cs&#038;hl=en&#038;meta=hl%3Den_1";return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true">CS</a>)  estimates.</p>
<p>Source: <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/05/29/ge-home-appliance-unit-sale-underscores-again-that-corporations-and-investors-alike-must-go-global-to-succeed/">GE Home Appliance Unit Sale Underscores Again That Corporations and Investors Alike Must Go Global to Succeed</a></p>
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