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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; XV</title>
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		<title>At Lehman, a Rising Star Falls</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/at-lehman-a-rising-star-falls/2978</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/at-lehman-a-rising-star-falls/2978#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Jun 2008 19:39:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Justice Litle</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock Market Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adam Lass]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Amex]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BAC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dow Jones]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Erin Callan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gazprom]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[JPM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[LEH]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lehman Brothers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nyse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wall Street]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WFC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Xlf]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[XV]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/at-lehman-a-rising-star-falls/2978</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>As recently as a month ago, Erin Callan was on top of the  world. The <em>WSJ </em>did a glowing piece on her rise through the ranks. Condé  Nast’s <em>Portfolio </em>magazine dubbed her the most powerful woman on Wall  Street.</p>
<p>If you don’t recognize the name &#8212; and don’t worry, most  won’t &#8212; Erin Callan is the chief financial officer of <strong>Lehman Brothers (LEH:NYSE)</strong>.</p>
<p>Or <em>was</em> the CFO,  rather, because Ms. Callan holds that title no more. She was ousted this  morning, along with chief operating officer Joseph Gregory, as a result of  Lehman’s nearly $3 billion loss. Someone had to take the fall. She and Mr.  Gregory were offered up to the volcano.</p>
<p>Ten days or so ago, <em><a href="http://www.taipanpublishing.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title="Taipan Publishing"  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Taipan</a> Daily</em> tagged Lehman  Brothers as a downside&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As recently as a month ago, Erin Callan was on top of the  world. The <em>WSJ </em>did a glowing piece on her rise through the ranks. Condé  Nast’s <em>Portfolio </em>magazine dubbed her the most powerful woman on Wall  Street.<span id="more-2978"></span></p>
<p>If you don’t recognize the name &#8212; and don’t worry, most  won’t &#8212; Erin Callan is the chief financial officer of <strong>Lehman Brothers (LEH:NYSE)</strong>.</p>
<p>Or <em>was</em> the CFO,  rather, because Ms. Callan holds that title no more. She was ousted this  morning, along with chief operating officer Joseph Gregory, as a result of  Lehman’s nearly $3 billion loss. Someone had to take the fall. She and Mr.  Gregory were offered up to the volcano.</p>
<p>Ten days or so ago, <em><a href="http://www.taipanpublishing.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title="Taipan Publishing"  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Taipan</a> Daily</em> tagged Lehman  Brothers as a downside bellwether. (<a href="http://www.taipanpublishinggroup.com/TPG/archives/Daily_060308a.html" target="_blank">You  can read it here.</a>) Watch LEH and watch the Philly Bank index, we said. Now  they are both in the tank &#8212; and the markets are, too.</p>
<p>Our own Adam Lass, the (rather outspoken) editor of <em>WaveStrength Options Weekly</em>, was on this beat long before anyone  else. As I wrote to you <a href="http://www.taipanpublishinggroup.com/TPG/archives/Daily_060908a.html" target="_blank">this  past Monday</a>, Adam has been pounding the table with gusto on his bearish  bank bets. <em>WOW</em> readers have been doing quite well in result.</p>
<p>He’s been cleaning up in the Dow Jones, too&#8230; on May 21, as  part of his &#8220;Storm Warning&#8221; program, Adam asked <em>WOW</em> readers to  buy September DIA puts. The max gains on that position (as of yesterday, I  believe) were 67%. They are, no doubt, up more today, with the Dow swimming in  red as I write.</p>
<p>Yesterday, I asked Adam to give the lay of the land from his  perspective. He replied with an open letter from New York City. Prophetically  enough, given this morning’s big news, the event on Adam’s mind was the big  Bear-Lehman lacrosse game. He expounds on market conditions, too, of course.  Read on to find out what our bank-beating, Dow-drubbing options guru has to  say.</p>
<p>Warm Regards,</p>
<p>JL</p>
<hr align="center" />
<h3>Wall Street Fiddles While America Burns</h3>
<h3><span class="style5">You can sit on the sidelines watching your money vanish… or you can gain  80% by summer’s end</span><span class="date"><strong> by Adam Lass, Editor, <a href="http://www.isecureonline.com/reports/WOW/WWOWJ508/" target="_blank">WaveStrength Options Weekly </a></strong></span></h3>
<p>Dear Justice,</p>
<p>I could write to you about oil today. It would be so easy&#8230;  the headlines are chock full of crude gyrations. One  moment they’re touting a pending drop as soaring prices cut into demand. The  next thing you know, some wag at Gazprom is calling for $250 a barrel by this  time next year. (I’m sure you’ll be addressing that soon.)</p>
<p>However, I’m fairly sure most of our readers are up to date  on oil, and just how badly oil prices are choking off the U.S. economy. (One  need do little more than open the latest gas card bill, and the pain becomes  apparent.)</p>
<p>But&#8230; are they aware of how Bear Stearns recently rose from  the dead to crush cross-town rival Lehman Brothers?</p>
<p>I am speaking, of course, of Tuesday night’s lacrosse game  up in the 100-degree heat of Harlem’s Baker Field, where Bear’s doughty lads  (and a few stand-ins from Bank of America) put the harsh realities of the  Street behind them for a few hours. The Bear boys may have been down and out in  the broader scheme of things. But for the course of this lacrosse game at  least, they stood tall over their fellow white-collar athletes.</p>
<p>The final score: Bear Stearns, 11; Lehman Bros., 4.</p>
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<td bgcolor="#f2ead7" height="148" width="574"><strong>***This Simple Secret used by the most successful traders on  Wall Street could make you 135% in the next 30 days…</strong>For decades, Wall Street’s top traders have used a secret  code to make millions on every trade. Here’s how you can join them and grab a  135% winner–– guaranteed–– but you must get in by June 31, 2008…<a href="http://www.isecureonline.com/reports/WOW/WWOWJ508/" target="_blank">Read all the details here.</a></td>
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<p>Now, I know that this feat sounds small in the context of  the huge sea changes happening to Wall Street these days. Quite frankly,  though, it’s amazing that Bear’s walking zombie fate hasn’t spread to more  players in the Gotham League.</p>
<p>Why, just the other day, the game’s big loser, Lehman  Brothers, added its name to the ever-expanding roster of multibillion-dollar  bleeders, upon reporting a $2.8  billion quarterly shortfall.</p>
<p>Judging by the ensuing plunge in LEH shares, this  announcement actually <em>surprised</em> some  investors, who were happily fantasizing that the financial sector’s troubles  had somehow ended.</p>
<p>This is a damn shame, because there was a plethora of clues  available to anyone with eyes to see. In the case of Lehman, one could simply  have noted hedge fund manager David Einhorn’s very public PowerPoint  presentation, where he deftly uncovered the cherry bombs lurking in LEH’s  books.</p>
<p>Yes, yes, I know that LEH execs have complained that Einhorn  was “talking his book” and supporting a big short position. Then again, Mr.  Einhorn is the one who was right, while Lehman CEO Dick Fuld was utterly,  awfully wrong when he claimed “the worst is behind us” back in April.</p>
<p>I will tell you right now that the worst is <em>not</em> behind LEH. Nor is the worst behind its fellow Gotham League players.</p>
<p>Pluck any name you want off Wall Street’s roster, and I am  willing to bet you dollars to donuts that they are still sitting on a vast  hoard of incendiary Level 3 assets.</p>
<p>If you’re not familiar with Level 3 assets, just close your  eyes and think of toxic waste. These ticking time bombs are various financial  devices wherein significant assumptions or inputs are used in the valuation  technique, based upon inputs that are not observable in the market&#8230; thus  requiring “internal information” to be used.</p>
<p>Street insiders describe Level 3 assets as “mystery meat.”  And when you hear “internal information,” that’s a euphemism for “we dunno.”  The traders are as clueless as the cafeteria lunch ladies when it comes to  pricing this stuff. And yet the corporate shills try to tell folks like you and  me that this “mystery meat” is really filet mignon.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, Wall Street’s best and brightest goof around,  beating each other up with lacrosse sticks alongside the Hudson, while their sponsoring  houses destroy shareholder wealth at a prodigous rate unseen since the “Great  Falls” of Enron and Long-Term Capital Management.</p>
<p>The financial sector &#8212; as exemplified by such proxies as  the <strong>Standard &amp; Poor’s Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF:AMEX) &#8211;</strong> has given up some 41% over the past 12 months.</p>
<p><u>It is not done yet</u>.<u></u></p>
<p>Since last May, my proprietary WaveStrength charting system  has yielded clear sell signals against such supposedly reputable companies as <strong>Bank  of America (BAC:NYSE)</strong>, <strong>JP Morgan (JPM:NYSE)</strong> and <strong>Wells Fargo (WFC:NYSE)</strong>.  These signals allowed my readers to convert Wall Streets self-inflicted  bleeding into 652% gains.</p>
<p>Here and now, that system indicates just as clearly that you  should purchase <strong>XLF December 22 puts (XLF XV)</strong>, available as I sit to  write for $214 per contract and sporting a delta of 0.37. These contracts will  earn you gains of 17% for every dollar Wall Street foolishly squanders this  summer&#8230; playing games while America burns.</p>
<p>Yours truly,</p>
<p>Adam</p>
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