Monday, November 23rd, 2009

The Next China: Vietnam Is Set to Grow

Jun 30th, 2008 | By J. Christoph Amberger | Category: Emerging Markets

As global “Caravan Capitalism” seeks out the countries offering the lowest production cost, multinational companies are leaving China for Vietnam.

Canon (NYSE: CAJ), Nissan(NASDAQ: NSANY), Hanes, Texhong Textile Group of China. Why are companies no longer building or expanding factories in China.

With $83 billion in 2007, China still is the most attractive destination for industrial investment in the world. But multinational companies have started hedging their bets in the face of soaring labor cost, inflation, and a strong yuan.

Caravan capitalists are diversifying out of China, establishing bases elsewhere in Asia.

Factory investments in low-skill, low-wage industries will migrate from China to Vietnam, which still offer foreign investors a corporate tax rate of zero for the first four years, and half the usual rate of 10 percent for the next four years.

And Cambodia, which has even lower labor cost, is already positioning itself as a lower-cost alternative to Vietnam.

None of this is good news for the American or European manufacturing sector as politicians seek to re-establish a 1970s utopia by raising labor cost. But once energy prices stabilize as the speculation-based oil bubble implodes, we’re looking at continued low prices for Asian imports as a long-term check on U.S. inflation.

Source: The Next China: Vietnam Is Set to Grow


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By J. Christoph Amberger

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About the Author

J. Christoph AmbergerAmberger began his career as a freelance contributor to Agora publications before emigrating from Germany to the United States in 1989, when he joined the editorial board of Taipan. In 1991, he took over as managing editor for the publication and assumed responsibility as group publisher four years later. In 2007 Christoph left Taipan and founded TodaysFinancialNews.com along with its premium publications: the highly successful stock Hot Stock Confidential, the options research service TFN Strategic Trader and, most recently, Penny Stock Confidential. In November of 2009, he welcomed Contrarian Profits to the Today's Financial News network.

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Today's Financial News provides an independent and practical perspective on the U.S. and global investment markets. We provide you with a free, reliable, easy, up-to-date, and focused resource to help you make your financial decisions with commentary, interviews, recommendations, and video. Today's Financial News includes the analysis and opinions of those editors whom we have come to trust over the course of the years.

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