The three best stocks of the past decade
Posted on: Jan 4th, 2010 | By Andrew Snyder | Filed under Notes From the Investment Underground
Baltimore: If today’s action from the markets is any indication of what investors think about Uncle Sam and his Washington minions, the upcoming mid-term election is going to get interesting.
Nothing talks in Washington any louder than money. Today, the big spenders are betting against the land of the free and the home of the brave. But of course, if you’ve been paying attention, the action is no surprise.
If you invested in United States treasuries over the last year, you bought into the worst performing sovereign debt across the globe. Thanks to the Obama administration’s unending yearning to artificially pull the nation’s GDP into positive territory, investors are quickly raising their nose to the country’s ever-growing pile of debt.
In all of 2009, the Treasury Department received loans of $2.1 trillion from the world’s investors. It was an extraordinary year of borrowing that took the nation’s debt liability from $5.80 trillion to $7.17 trillion at the end of November.
Of course, with unemployment likely to show yet another rise later this week and some 45,000 businesses tossing in the towel over the last twelve months, Obama is not done spending yet.
Many experts believe 2010 will mirror the borrowing habits of 2009, when Geithner and the Treasury hit the auction market 79 times.
As we are seeing today, excessive borrowing can lead to strong market opportunities for well-positioned investors.
As long as Uncle Sam is spending more than he is pulling from the pockets of hard-working Americans, the value of the dollar will be at risk.
After a very strong December, the greenback is showing weakness today. It now trades at $1.4436 against the euro, a dip of more than a penny below the 2009 closing figure. A penny may not sound like much to the uninitiated, but a quick look at anything dollar-denominated tells a different story.
Oil is up, gold is up and the equities market is soaring. A turnaround in the dollar is just what we needed to get the pendulum swinging once again.
As I have said many times before, a falling dollar is good, but it can only drop so far before it turns out to be an utter disaster. Once the markets believe the bottom is going to fall out, it is all over for the security of the world’s top currency.
But that’s a problem we won’t have to deal with until the Fed pulls out of the game. Unfortunately, Bernanke’s likely to put the fiscal rejuvenation machine into reverse in the not-so-distant weeks ahead.
For now, however, it is time to make money while you can.
Any good contrarian investor loves the gold markets lately. I love it because we are raking in the gains over at TFN Strategic Trader thanks to recent swings in the precious metals market.
For nearly all of December, I took flak because of my gold-market pessimism. But folks that followed my advice saved themselves some big money as the shiny metal lost nearly 10% of its value.
But in the final week of the year, you may recall, I noticed the market was ready to change direction. On Thursday morning, with just a couple of trading hours left in the year, I made my move. I wrote my subscribers about a strategic option contract.
The move paid off. Thanks to gold prices surging by more than $26 per ounce today, the contract has soared by 44%. I am sure plenty of members are taking the one-day gains, but I’m holding out for more.
2010 will be the year of all years for currency and hard-asset traders. We are already proving it.
*** Here’s a question that will help you get the New Year off to a profitable start.
What do Medifast (NYSE:MED), Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (NASDAQ:GMCR) and Hansen Natural (NASDAQ:HANS) have in common?
The answer: They all make food or drinks designed to make you feel good. Even better, they comprise the three best performing stocks of the last decade.
Medifast, with its popular weight-loss diets, soared over 16,000% over the past ten years. Green Mountain, and its diverse coffee lineup, led investors to gains of 9,210%. And Hansen, the maker of a variety of popular drinks, is up by 7,022%.
Not bad figures for a time that most pundits are eager to call a lost decade. It is not surprising to see a decade that was so focused on consumer spending and short-term happiness to produce these kinds of figures.
Looking forward, however, into a decade when unemployment is creeping higher, discretionary spending is down and it is becoming hip to be frugal (finally, my time to shine), the three stocks listed above may give back plenty of their recent gains unless they reposition their product portfolio.
In ten years, it won’t be “fun” food we will be talking about. With the nation’s population growing by leaps and bounds, it will be staples like corn, wheat and water that dominate the headlines.
Don’t worry. We’ve got plenty of time to figure it out.