Thursday, November 20th, 2008

These 2 Stocks Have Great Long-Term Potential Returns

Aug 22nd, 2008 | By Aaron Lehmann | Category: Featured, Financial News, Stock Market Investing

There was some reprieve for U.S. shares yesterday. Helped by expectations that the government is ready to bail out stricken mortgage giants Fannie Mae (NYSE:FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE:FRE), the markets closed mostly higher.

But the markets are still in turmoil, says Aaron Lehman in The Smart Profits Report. And the Fed is running out of options to save the system. But some stocks still offer investors great long-term potential returns.

Aaron is bullish on cellphone maker Nokia Corp (NYSE: NOK) and small biotech Enzo Biochem (NYSE:ENZ)…

The dramatic decline in the U.S. financial and housing markets was quite evident in early 2007, yet the Federal Reserve, Treasury Department, and investment bankers alike were all lulled into dangerous states of inactivity. Combined with the extraordinary rise in energy costs and commodity prices, these factors have taken a heavy negative impression toll on the economy.Here’s what you need to know - and which companies could combat the current situation best from here…

The Market’s 2008 Burden

Although the U.S. dollar has climbed against other major foreign currencies like the euro, British pound and Japanese yen over the past ten days, its overall devaluation hurts Americans traveling abroad, but helps U.S. exporters and foreigners traveling here to pick up bargains.

Still, the picture remains bleak, as we’ve witnessed the demise of Bear Stearns, billions of dollars in bank write-offs, the implosion of Fannie Mae (NYSE:FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE:FRE), the continuation of the sub-prime mortgage debacle and resulting foreclosures as real estate prices sink.

At the same time, Americans’ spending power is rapidly eroding, as inflation continues to rise. So what can we do now to prepare for the future?

Invest More… Speculate Less

Although the next 6-12 months seems bleak (if you listen to a lot of the mainstream press anyway), I believe it will create significant investment opportunities for patient investors, who rely on facts, rather than following the panicking herd out the door.

Yes, while factors both here and abroad warrant caution (examples include the resurgence of Russia as an aggressive nation, a changing of the guard in Pakistan, nuclear tensions in Iran, an economic slowdown in Europe, and the U.S. presidential election), they certainly don’t signify financial ruin.

The difference between investors and speculators is knowledge. Yes, every investment is somewhat speculative, no matter how safe you think the asset may be. But a good analyst relies on a wide array of data in selecting a pick in order to give the best possible chance for success.

Those tools include monitoring industry trends, and thoroughly analyzing balance sheets, income statements, cash flow analysis and the history of that entity under various scenarios. Many go even further by interviewing management, competitors and customers.

You can then make a better judgment about when the asset should be bought or sold, plus the probability of success. It takes time - but it’s time well spent. And that’s exactly what we strive to do for you here and in our premium content newsletter, the Xcelerated Profits Report.

Don’t Bet On The Fed This Time

Don’t pin your hopes on the Federal Reserve. The bankers are virtually out of options that can save the system, short of bailing out every struggling financial institution or creating rampant inflation.

The fact is, the “good old days” are gone… the financial sector shakeout probably has further to go… and the value of underlying assets and the ability of the various institutions to raise capital is still uncertain.

In the absence of much leadership, I continue to remain skeptical about a sustained rally or the beginning of a new bull market. But there is hope.

Signs of a market bottom (which will be the first indication of full recovery) might include market capitulation, a shakeout of money managers, including hedge funds, and even greater negative sentiment.

Longer-term positives would include oil prices dropping closer to about $70 a barrel, a rally in the U.S. dollar to about $1.10-1.25 versus the euro, and a basing in the housing market, with stable housing starts and fewer foreclosures.

In the present, though, U.S. corporate balance sheets are quite strong, and stable share prices can create a major stimulus to cash flow and corporate profits.

Two More Stocks For Your Watchlist

In my last column, I mentioned two companies that might be within striking distance of a bottom - Walgreen Co. (NYSE: WAG) and Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE: VZ). Since that time, Walgreen is up slightly and Verizon is down a bit. But both are still worth considering on pullbacks.

Today, you could take a look at Nokia Corp (NYSE: NOK) - the world’s largest cell phone manufacturer. It’s another large-cap company that provides a relative degree of safety and is dominant in its respective markets. Two of the most dominant include China and India, where the firm is still expanding.

Selling at less than 10 times next year’s earnings, the stock yields about 3.3% and has a strong balance sheet. Even if it approaches its 52-week high of $42.22, it would appreciate by nearly 70% excluding dividends. And that gives long-term investors a potential return of 30% per annum over a 24-month time horizon.

If you can take on more risk, check out Enzo Biochem (NYSE:ENZ) - a small biotechnology company that has made several acquisitions over the past year. Those purchases should enhance revenue growth and give the firm a strategic presence in its markets, while simultaneously giving it the ability to pursue its vast intellectual property

All told, Enzo Biochem has significant long-term opportunities and I’m confident that it will enhance its future prospects - especially with $75 million in cash and new management.

Source: How To Handle The Stock Market’s Current Turmoil


AdvertisementMy Friends Laughed When I Decided To Become a "Big Game Hunter"… But Look Who's Laughing Now!

My friends gossiped. My wife thought I was crazy. They all thought I was nuts.

Now, I'm the ONE laughing all the way to the bank.

Thanks to an ingenious strategy, what one man calls the "Predictability Theory"…first founded and advanced by Harvard and MIT Economists…later perfected (and adapted) by Jack Crooks (and his son J.R.) to the world of "exotic" investments - I've had the ability to collect $232,500 in just 71 days.

Are you a "Big Game Hunter?" Are you interested in 1,000% gains?
Read on to determine is this opportunity is right for you.



Tags: , , , , , , , , ,

By Aaron Lehmann

Related Articles



About the Author

Aaron Lehmann is a contributing editor to The Smart Profits Report.

See All Posts by This Author

The Smart Profits Report

Smart Profits Report is a comprehensive investment tool that brings you top chart analysis and cutting-edge trading techniques. Smart Profits Report's market-beating technical analysts reveal how to use highly effective charting tools that mainstream analysts know little about or nothing about.

See All Posts from This Publication