These Two Shipping Companies will Multiply Your Returns
Feb 6th, 2009 | By Andrew Snyder | Category: FeaturedIt is turning out to be a fantastic week for investors with a strong enough stomach to stand the recent fallout in the shipping industry. Until yesterday, we were left wondering how deep the abyss may be. But thanks to some industry debt restructuring and word that revenues could be on the increase, the rising tide is lifting all ships today.
This from TFN’s Andrew Snyder:
The two-day rally started yesterday when DryShips (NASDAQ:DRYS) announced it reached a deal to restructure two of its loans. Shares jumped from $5 to $6 yesterday, and up to and over the $7 mark today.
This is great news for an industry that has been reeling in pain after the collapse of the global credit market. After years of expansion in a dire effort to keep up with exploding global demand, the industry is laden with debt.
Ships ain’t cheapWith a bit of light at the end of the credit tunnel, paying for all those new ships may not mean selling them at bargain basement prices, especially now that it looks like the rates shippers charge may be on the rise.
The closely monitored Baltic Dry Index made its biggest one-day move since this mess started last fall. Top rates hit four-month highs of $22,000 and are expected to climb as high as $30,000 in the coming weeks, thanks to increased demand from the Chinese steel industry.
So who are the winners and how do you play this news? First, in addition to dry ships take a look at companies like Eagle Bulk Shipping (NASDAQ:EGLE) and Excel Maritime Carriers (NYSE:EXM). Those two are up by 30% and 25%, respectively.
It sounds like a great, wealth-generating turnaround, but only the folks savvy enough to buy at recent lows are counting their profits. After all, shares of Excel hit lows more than 94% off last spring’s high. There is plenty of more room to climb.
I would treat this sector like any other speculative investment. There are a lot of variables surrounding the shipping industry and almost all of them depend on a growing global economy. Right now, that could be months, if not years away.
But with credit becoming available and shipping rates rising once again, there is hope. At this point, the reward may not have overpowered the significant risk of selected industry bankruptcies, but we are getting much closer. As soon as more news of debt restructuring hits, you should gobble up all the shares your speculative portfolio can handle.
There is a good chance we are witnessing a strong turnaround in the indicative sector.
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Paragon Shipping? Any Good?
I hope this is not over. In my opinion there is still a lot of upside left in shipping stocks.