Two Strategies Perfect for Today’s Market
Mar 16th, 2009 | By Jon Herring | Category: Featured, Stock Market InvestingWe are in the midst of the worst economy in decades. Corporate earnings are falling. Unemployment is rising. And there looks to be no relief in sight. While the stock market is due for a bounce (probably a big one), there is no doubt that the general trend is still down.
But what is bad for the economy and terrible for the market does not have to wreak havoc on your portfolio. By employing the right strategies, you can multiply your wealth safely in just about ANY market. In fact, there are a number of investment strategies that have never been as safe and profitable as they are today.
Here are several strategies you should strongly consider right now:
- Selling Covered Calls
Selling (also called “writing”) covered calls is one of the safest ways to generate extra income from your portfolio, especially in today’s market. Due to the fear and volatility in the market, option premiums are much higher than their historical averages. As a “seller” of options, that works in your favor. This is a strategy that could easily and safely generate 20% annual income.
Selling covered calls is probably the lowest-risk form of options trading. In fact it is less risky than simply buying stocks. The strategy involves buying a stock and then selling someone else the right to buy it from you in the future. For this privilege, the option buyer pays you cash up front, thus lowering your cost basis for the shares you purchase.
Here’s a hypothetical example of how it works…
Let’s assume stock ABC is trading for $10 and the July call options on this stock, with a strike price of $11 are selling for $1.00. To initiate a covered call, let’s assume you purchase 100 shares of ABC. Then you sell one call option on ABC, representing 100 shares. You would immediately receive $100 in your account, therefore your cost basis on this transaction is $900 ($1,000 – $100).
There are three possible outcomes to this trade:
- If ABC is trading for any amount over $11 at the option expiration date, the buyer would exercise his right to purchase the stock from you for $11. In this case, you would make 22%, based on your cost basis of $9.
- If ABC is trading for less than $11 but greater than $9 at expiration, you would still own the shares at a gain, and you would pocket the cash you received up front. You could then start the process all over, to generate another round of income.
- If ABC is trading for less than $9 at options expiration, you would be holding the shares at a loss. But the income you received up front would offset the loss. And you could repeat the process again to recoup some of the loss and generate additional income.
The key to this strategy is to write covered calls on stocks that you would like to hold for the long term. These could be stocks you already own or new positions. The stocks you select should be those that you believe to be very safe and cheap. And you should employ this strategy at a time when option premiums are large – as they are now. Ideally, you will be selling options that expire within three to five months.
When the strategy works out in your favor (and it will if you employ the rules above), you can generate better than 20% annualized income on a conservative portfolio of stocks. On the occasions when the stocks fall below your cost basis, you would own a stock that you wanted to own anyway… but at a much lower cost than if you had just purchased the shares.
By writing covered calls on high quality dividend-paying stocks you can get an extra bonus. Best case scenario, you will keep the option premiums, you’ll keep the dividends, and you’ll keep the stock too!
- Selling Puts
Selling puts is another strategy that can generate an annualized yield in the neighborhood of 30% – 50%. When executed properly, a put selling strategy can be highly profitable and carry very low risk. This is especially the case in a market like we have today, where fear is high and option prices are elevated.
You can also sell puts with the goal of generating income. In this case, you want the put to expire worthless so you can capture the option premium. To accomplish this goal, you sell puts that are out of the money on stocks you believe to have very little downside risk… and which you would be willing to purchase at a much lower price, if necessary.
Here is an example…
Let’s assume that stock XYZ is selling for $13. We’ll also assume the stock has already fallen a significant amount (not too hard to find in today’s market) and you believe the rock bottom liquidation value of the company is $8.
With the stock trading at $13, the July $10 put option is well out of the money and selling for $1.50. You decide to sell these puts. When the trade closes, $150 will automatically show up in your account for every contract you sold.
The only way you could lose money on this trade is if XYZ trades below $8.50 ($10 – $1.50) on or before the option expiration date in July. That is a 35% drop from the depressed level the shares of XYZ are trading today.
And in the unlikely event that you were obligated to purchase those shares, you should still come out okay. After all, the liquidation value of the company is $8 a share and your cost for those shares is just $8.50. So the downside risk should be very small.
Remember, this strategy should be employed on stocks where you believe the downside risk to be minimal. And you should only employ this strategy on stocks that you would be GLAD to own at a price below where you sell the put.
You should also have a reasonable understanding of the true valuation of the company. For this reason, I would exclude most financial and insurance companies from this category, as very few people (including the insiders) have any idea how much these companies are worth or what is on the books.
In today’s market, you can expect a well executed put selling strategy to generate an annualized yield of 30% to 50% with limited risk. Selling puts in this environment and following the rules above can put big odds in your favor.
By selling put options, you could buy super-high quality stocks as much as 50% cheaper than today’s historically low prices. PLUS you’ll get cold, hard cash deposited in your account instantly… adding to your annual income!
Where You Can Learn These Strategies… and a Lot More!
By no means are these the only strategies that can be highly profitable in today’s market. We are also seeing a once-in-a-generation opportunity in high quality corporate bonds. Invest in the right bonds and you can see significant capital gains plus income… without taking stock market risk.
This is also an excellent market for shorting stocks. But you should not go out and just short any stock. The inevitable bear market rallies could put you in the poorhouse. The lowest risk opportunity is to short those stocks that are almost certainly going to zero – companies with an impaired business model and a massive debt load. There are dozens, if not hundreds of these companies out there.
Now for some even better news: you don’t have to do all of this on your own…
In June, at the Turnberry Isle Resort & Club in Miami, Investor’s Daily Edge and Mt. Vernon Research have asked nine top investment experts to share their number one strategy and top recommendations that are making a fortune in today’s market. Of course, all of the above topics will be covered.
To learn more about this conference and the once-in-a-lifetime opportunities we’ll be discussing, click here.
Source: Two Strategies Perfect for Today’s Market
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