Tuesday, November 24th, 2009

Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index (BSV) Is a Great Safe Haven

Sep 16th, 2008 | By Andrew Snyder | Category: Featured, Financial News

Wall Street is in deep, deep hole. Lehman Brothers (NYSE:LEH) is in Chapter 11 and AIG (NSYE:AIG), the biggest insurers in the country, is not far behind. It needs a loan of $75 billion to stay alive. Meanwhile, the country’s biggest savings and loan bank WaMu (NYSE:WM) has a junk credit rating.

You can be sure of one thing: This crisis has a ways to run yet.

Fortunately, there is a way investors can make money out of this crisis. Andrew Snyder in Today’s Financial News says the Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index ETF (AMEX:BSV) high-yield bond fund is a great safe-haven investment right now. 

Let’s face it, it is going to be nearly impossible for AIG (NYSE:AIG) to find a $75 billion loan. With a collateral offering that is nowhere near the size of the loan request, the company’s executives would be better off buying a handful of scratch-off lottery tickets. Now, if the Fed is dumb enough to get involved again, all bets are off.

As of right now, AIG is likely to be in big trouble this time tomorrow. Executives could be standing behind their buddies from Lehman Brothers (NYSE:LEH) in bankruptcy court.

Even if the company does get the loan (or should we call it a donation), all its lender would be doing is feeding a powerful and deadly addiction. Do you realize what the interest payments would be like on a $75 billion loan? Figuring on a 2.5% interest rate and depending on how you compound the interest, it would be somewhere in the range of $1.5 billion… per year.

See what I mean about feeding the addiction?

If we give the company the money it needs today, it is no different than giving a hundred bucks to the crack addict down the street. He will get high today, but be begging again tomorrow.

The problem is if AIG goes bankrupt, investors across the globe will be reeling in pain. But that is what happens when we let a dozen or so greedy CEOs control the world’s markets.

Fortunately, I have a solution.

Hide in the lee of the storm

What if I told you about an investment that pays you a dividend nearly twice as good as average, plus is filled with appreciation potential? You would invest in it, right? You had better say yes.

The Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index ETF is one of a just a handful of investments that is in positive territory over the past few days.

Why?

There are plenty of reasons. As interest rates drop, bond prices rise. Investors are fleeing to the safety of the bond market in droves. Plus, where else can you find a chance to make 4% on your money when the equities market is hitting two- and three-year lows?

The Vanguard ETF tracks one of the company’s indexes of short-term bonds (typically three years or less to maturity) with investment-grade credit ratings. Right now, many of its holdings are U.S. Treasuries with coupon rates between three and six percent, a great choice as most government debt is trading near multi-year highs thanks to this credit debacle.

Nobody knows what is next

Today, the equities markets are treading water, waiting to see what will happen with AIG. If bad news strikes, bond prices will soar, making this ETF jump in value. As we have seen, the fallout from the credit implosion is nowhere near its end.

I am not recommending this ETF to count out the equities market. It is merely a temporary play to force your investments to keep working for you.

After all, many stocks are trading for a great discount. Bargain hunters will be on a buying frenzy later this week. You should be one of them. Right now, however, protection is key.

If you have not already done it, invest in a high-quality, high-yield bond fund. The Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index ETF is my choice.

When everybody else is calculating their double-digit losses, you will be able to cash in for sizeable gains.

Source: Wall Street Implosion: Protect Your Assets With This Pick


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By Andrew Snyder

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About the Author

Andrew is a contributor to Daily Reckoning Australia and Today's Financial News.

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Today's Financial News provides an independent and practical perspective on the U.S. and global investment markets. We provide you with a free, reliable, easy, up-to-date, and focused resource to help you make your financial decisions with commentary, interviews, recommendations, and video. Today's Financial News includes the analysis and opinions of those editors whom we have come to trust over the course of the years.

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  1. This particular fund has a significant position in Lehman paper – if this fund is the equivalent of their open-end fund with a similar name (VBISX). We have switched out of this fund into Vanguard’s Short-term Treasury Fund, VFISX.

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