Sunday, November 23rd, 2008

Who’s Afraid of Emerging Markets?

May 31st, 2008 | By Chris Mayer | Category: Emerging Markets

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Your Chance to Repeat History… And Double Your Money in Less Than Three Years

Halfway across the world is a place where the modern-day equivalent of the interstate highway program is under way…and it’s having an impact even greater than the U.S. version.

Highway spending over the next few years will total $88 billion. And just like the people who bought General Motors in the early ‘60s, you could be one of those people in the right place, at the right time, buying shares of the right company…doubling your money in less than three years.

We got that company right here

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I saw Agtmael give a presentation in Washington, D.C., one evening. I’ve also since read his new book. Agtmael spent 30 years in these kinds of markets. “I have helped IranAir lease airplanes and hire crews in Ethiopia, was involved in financing Ghana’s cocoa exports,” he writes, “and grew wise to the ways — many of them laughably one-sided — that developed nations interacted with what were in many cases recent European colonies.”

Agtmael selected 25 companies to profile in his book. All of them exemplify best practices and are widely recognized as leaders in their industries. All of them call an emerging market home.

Agtmael writes about spending time in High Tech Computer Corp.’s research lab in Taiwan in 2005 and how “Suddenly, my BlackBerry looked like a Model T.” He writes about how the regional jets we fly are made in Brazil (by Embraer). How computers are now not just made in China, but designed there. How Indian and Slovenian labs produce proprietary new drugs. And on and on it goes.

The world has changed in a profound way, but the typical investor probably doesn’t appreciate this fully. One more nugget from Agtmael: In 1988, when he started his fund, there were only 20 emerging market companies with sales of more than $1 billion. Most of these were banks or commodity companies. (Overwhelmingly, they were located in Taiwan.) Today, there are over 270 companies with over $1 billion in sales, and 38 with more than $10 billion.

Many of them are high-tech companies or provide consumer products and services. This bolsters Agtmael’s point that many of today’s emerging market stars do not rely on cheap labor, abundant natural resources or protective government policies. Instead, they have developed competitive advantages in technology, design, logistics and other areas.

Agtmael also gives his tips for investing in emerging markets. The most important of these may simply be this: “Don’t be afraid to invest in them.”

Sincerely,
Chris Mayer

P.S.: Many of these emerging markets are producing tons of fast-growing penny stocks. Editors Greg Guenthner and Jim Nelson have already highlighted a few, which is why they’ve been able to produce big gains for their readers. If you don’t want to get left behind, check this out now

Source: Who’s Afraid of Emerging Markets?

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By Chris Mayer

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About the Author

Chris MayerChris Mayer is the editor of Capital and Crisis and Mayer's Special Situations. His contrarian essays have appeared on a number of websites and publications including the Mises Institute, the Freeman, GoldEagle.com, LewRockwell.com, FiendBear.com, PrudentBear.com and Individual Investor Magazine.

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The Daily Reckoning offers a "uniquely refreshing" perspective on the global economy, investing and the ability to live well in uncertain times. You will learn what you can expect from today's markets and how to prosper in the face of uncertainty.

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