Sunday, November 23rd, 2008

Who Will the Fed Have to Bail Out Next?

Sep 5th, 2008 | By Bill Bonner | Category: Politics & Economics

The consequences of the Fed’s bailout strategy for banks are beginning to be felt, says Bill Bonner in The Daily Reckoning. You see, Wall Street is not the only place feeling the pinch. The big three automakers in Detroit have watched in horror this year as soaring gas prices crippled sales of big trucks. Now they need cash, and figure they should be entitled to some pocket money from Bernanke & Co too. More from Bill…

Even though we are still seeing SUVs on the road - gas prices be damned! - Americans simply aren’t buying new trucks. In fact, Detroit’s “Big 3″ - (NYSE: GM), Ford (NYSE:F) and Chrysler - reported monthly declines of at least 20% since last year. Layoffs, plant shutdowns and major cutbacks have become the norm in the domestic auto industry.

With more and more Americans purchasing hybrids and more fuel-efficient vehicles, these plants need an overhaul to keep up with the technology of their competitors…and that’s going to take some serious dough.

Now, taking a page out of Fannie (NYSE:FNM) and Freddie (NYSE:FRE)’s book, the Big 3 are looking to the government for a $50 billion loan. Both presidential candidates are on board (a great way to buy some votes auto-dependent Midwestern states) and the Bush administration is “thinking about it.” Experts are putting the chances of this package being passed by Congress at 75%, citing a perfect storm of circumstances: plunging auto sales, high gas prices and election year politics.

What the outcome of this bailout will be is up for grabs. Some think $50 billion won’t do much to help this troubled industry, and others believe that this will help the companies get back on their feet, up to speed with the trends, helping them in the long-term.

What is abundantly clear from this situation is that the consequences of the country’s EZ credit policies are rearing its ugly head. Steven Pearlstein, writing for the Washington Post:

“Can we be assured that, after the Big Three, no other industry will step forward and demand that the government rescue it from its own misjudgments? Unfortunately not. This is what happens when asset bubbles develop, countries live beyond their means - and then, inevitably, the bubble bursts and economic reality finally reasserts itself. Now the bill is coming due. The only thing left to be resolved is how it will be paid.”

Source: Avoidance Tactics


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By Bill Bonner

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Bill BonnerBest-selling investment author Bill Bonner is the founder and president of Agora Publishing. Owner of both Fleet Street Publications and MoneyWeek magazine in the UK, he is also author of the free daily e-mail The Daily Reckoning and three best-selling books, Financial Reckoning Day: Surviving The Soft Depression of the 21st Century, Empire of Debt: The Rise of an Epic Financial Crisis and Mobs, Messiahs and Markets..

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The Daily Reckoning offers a "uniquely refreshing" perspective on the global economy, investing and the ability to live well in uncertain times. You will learn what you can expect from today's markets and how to prosper in the face of uncertainty.

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