Why the Credit Crunch Is Good News for Game Birds
Aug 16th, 2008 | By David Stevenson | Category: International InvestingAn important date in the City’s social calendar went almost unmarked this week. Tuesday, the Twelfth of August, marked the official start of the grouse shooting season. It’s easy to see why amid the war in Georgia, and fear of recession in Europe, people might have had other things on their minds.
But in today’s politically correct day and age, with the demise – legally at least - of fox hunting, it’s almost a miracle that thousands of heavily-armed grouse hunters still take to the moors of Scotland and northern England each August.
Yet while hunting opponents have been unable to negotiate a ceasefire, the cold realities of economics may prove more successful in silencing the guns…
Grouse shooting is big business. The industry is worth £1.6bn to the UK economy. It generates the equivalent of 70,000 full-time jobs, while ensuring the management of two-thirds of the UK’s rural land.
But like almost every other British business, it’s under pressure. Costs are rising. Both fuel and ammunition are getting more expensive. What’s more, the weakness of the US dollar – even allowing for the recent bounce - has pushed the cost of a day’s grouse shooting in Scotland to around $13,300. That’s enough to make even high-rolling American hunters think twice about whether they can afford another trans-Atlantic trip.
However, the real concerns in the grouse shooting world run rather deeper. Much of the demand for shooting comes from the City and corporate business. So if the Square Mile’s hot shots aren’t gunning for a day on the moors, that could be bad news for shoot organisers.
This year’s season will probably be OK, says Christopher Graffius, director of communications for the British Association for Shooting and Conservation. Most bookings were paid for at the beginning of the year, “before the credit crunch really hit.”
Yet a study by specialists Fox Harris has found “some signs of softness in the market”, says Martin Waller in The Times. One unnamed banker told him that “in today’s climate, taking large numbers of clients to shoots costing as much as £30,000, was probably a non-starter on PR grounds”. Another agent spoke of a dearth of corporate customers, and warned that some who’ve paid deposits may walk away. “We’re aware of shoots normally full and difficult to get into that are now offering days. There will be some days coming back on the market discounted.”
“It’s not going to make any difference for the guys that come in their own private jets, but certainly at the lower end of the market there seems to be a bit of a slow-down”, says Russell Hird, who runs grouse-shooting expeditions on the Isle of Lewis.Read the full article
Source: Why the Credit Crunch is Good News for Game Birds
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David Stevenson joined MoneyWeek as Associate Editor in May 2008. Having started a career in the City with Morgan Grenfell, David joined Oppenheimer as a fund manager in 1983, starting on the UK desk before managing the European fund in 1986. He has subsequently managed equity portfolios for Hill Samuel, Cigna and Lloyds TSB subsidiary IAI International, and has worked as an analyst for stockbroker BNP Securities. After a brief period running his own business, David then returned to the financial world in 2007 as investment writer for the Motley Fool.