Saturday, November 21st, 2009

Will Housing Continue Its Uptick? GDP Could Scare The Market on Thursday

Jun 22nd, 2009 | By Christian Hill | Category: Financial News, Real Estate Investments

No real surprise here, Existing Homes Sales are expected to increase. It should be a combination of two factors, too-good-to-pass-up deals on foreclosed homes, and families moving to new school districts over the summer to avoid switching schools mid-year.

Monday
Earnings Announcements: Walgreens (WAG)

Tuesday
Economic Reports: Existing Home Sales

Earnings Announcements: Oracle (ORCL)

Wednesday
Economic Reports: Durable Orders, New Home Sales, FOMC Rate Decision

Durable Orders are expected to fall dramatically since last month. I am not sure if this is due to no more income tax refund checks to spend on big ticket items or not, but with Personal Spending for May expected to increase, a drop in Durable Orders is surprising.

New Home Sales are expected to climb this month, and after last weeks surprise in Building Permits and Housing Starts, I have a hard time trying to figure out the New Home Sales report. If I had to pick, I would expect the report to meet or beat expectations. Just a gut feeling.

The FOMC Rate Decision is announced at 2:15, and I don’t expect a change to be made to the current 0.0-0.25 percent rate

Earnings Announcements: Monsanto (MON), Rite-Aid (RAD),

Thursday
Economic Calendar: Q1 GDP Final

Expectations are for no revision to the first quarter GDP figure. At this point, I doubt there would be a surprise showing improvement. If anything, the report may show a tenth of a point or so larger contraction for the first quarter GDP.

Earnings Announcements: Con-Agra (CAG), Palm (PALM)

Friday
Economic Reports: Personal Income and Spending, Michigan Sentiment

As mentioned earlier, Personal Income and Personal Spending for May are both expected to show an increase. I guess the surprise is that the expected increase in spending is larger than the expected increase in income. With money tight for everyone, an increase in spending is quite surprising.

The Michigan Sentiment reading is expected to show no change since the last report, which is about what I expected. With rising gas prices, uncertainty about the economy and slowing  job losses, the consumer has many offsetting considerations.

Source: Will Housing Continue Its Uptick? GDP Could Scare The Market on Thursday


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By Christian Hill

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